Saturday Index
Opening game centerBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Opening game centerBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Sat, Sep 12 · ABC
FINALPublished projection
Original edition · Sep 10OSU2723
TEX2424| Quarter | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OSU | 10 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 23 |
| TEX | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 24 |
Updated Sep 14, 7:45 AM EDT
Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium · Austin, TX. TV: ABC.
After the final · Free recap
Texas scored 21 unanswered points in the fourth quarter, and Hollywood Smothers' touchdown with 25 seconds left completed the comeback.
Read the game recap| OSU | Statistic | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| 372 | Total yards | 336 |
| 278 | Net passing yards | 196 |
| 94 | Rushing yards | 140 |
| 19 | First downs | 25 |
| 6-14 | Third downs | 9-16 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 28:29 | Possession | 31:31 |
| 4-35 | Penalties | 2-12 |
| OSU | Statistic | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Fourth downs | 2-3 |
| 17-32 | Passing | 23-37 |
| 8.7 | Yards per pass | 5.3 |
| 31 | Rushing attempts | 41 |
| 3.0 | Yards per rush | 3.4 |
| 0 | Fumbles Lost | 1 |
| 1 | Interceptions | 1 |
| 1 | Passes Deflected | 3 |
| 3 | Qb Hurries | 4 |
| 2 | Sacks | 2 |
| 45 | Tackles | 28 |
| 0 | Defensive TDs | 0 |
| 6 | Tackles For Loss | 5 |
| 0 | Total Fumbles | 4 |
| 1 | Fumbles Recovered |
Final
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Sayin | 17/32 | 278 | 1 | 1 |
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Saturday Index win outlook
57%
Ohio State leads the Saturday Index outlook
Ohio State win probability 57%; Texas win probability 43%.
Ohio State's clearest advantage is the passing matchup against Texas.
2 sportsbooks
Ohio State at Texas is a 2026 Week 2 college football matchup. Final score: Ohio State 23–Texas 24. The published pregame model favors Ohio State. Ohio State has a 57% win probability and Texas has a 43% win probability. The recorded pregame projection was Ohio State 27–Texas 24. Schedule: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium · Austin, TX. TV: ABC. This forecast was recorded on Sep 10, 2026, 3:45 PM ET.
The forecast is retained separately from the result and is not recalculated from the score. Saturday Index converts its published pregame model margin into a win probability. The forecast source can vary by edition and available inputs; the methodology page explains the current model and score calculation. These probabilities describe the pregame outlook, not a guaranteed outcome or an in-game win probability. Both team pages provide season schedules, results and published outlooks. The weekly predictions hub links to other games, and any linked preview provides the available editorial context for this matchup.
The published pregame model favors Ohio State. Ohio State has a 57% win probability and Texas has a 43% win probability.
The recorded pregame projection was Ohio State 27–Texas 24.
Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium · Austin, TX. TV: ABC.
Saturday Index converts its published pregame model margin into a win probability. The forecast source can vary by edition and available inputs; the methodology page explains the current model and score calculation. These probabilities describe the pregame outlook, not a guaranteed outcome or an in-game win probability.
| 0 |
| 1 | Passes Intercepted | 1 |
|---|
| 0 | Interception TDs | 0 |
|---|
| 7 | Interception Yards | 0 |
|---|
| 11 | Kicking Points | 6 |
|---|
| 1 | Passing TDs | 1 |
|---|
| 2 | Punt Returns | 1 |
|---|
| 0 | Punt Return TDs | 0 |
|---|
| 16 | Punt Return Yards | -2 |
|---|
| 1 | Rushing TDs | 2 |
|---|
| — | Kick Returns | 2 |
|---|
| — | Kick Return TDs | 0 |
|---|
| — | Kick Return Yards | 35 |
|---|
ORIGINAL PREGAME FORECAST
The latest completed game for each team before this matchup, with the players who led the way.
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Completed games provide context. Keep the opponent and game situation in mind.
A quick visual read on team strengths, expected pace, and the matchups that can shape the game.
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OSUAwayTEXHomeOSUOSUOSUOSUOSUExpected paceFewer possessions
The matchups most likely to shape Saturday.
Ohio State holds the clearer matchup advantage. Texas needs to control this area to keep the game balanced.
Ohio State has the stronger passing matchup. Texas needs pressure and disciplined coverage to keep completions from becoming explosive plays.
Original pregame report · archived game.
Texas has the better big-play matchup. Ohio State can keep the game on schedule by preventing chunk gains and forcing longer drives.
Ohio State holds the clearer matchup advantage. Texas needs to control this area to keep the game balanced.
Ohio State has the stronger passing matchup. Texas needs pressure and disciplined coverage to keep completions from becoming explosive plays.
PLAYER USAGE / FREE FEATURED GAME
Choose a player to explore his workload and game log.
The field needs both air yards and direction. Throws without that detail remain in the recorded play totals.
1 recorded game
2026 observations before Week 2.
Profile totals cover 1 completed games. The field chart covers 1 charted games from recorded game books and available charted plays.
These are grouped passing zones, not exact throw locations. Charted throws are detailed feed rows; penalty or nullified plays can differ from official game-book attempts. Success rate includes only plays with a success classification; the classified sample is shown beside the rate.
The latest completed game for each team before this matchup, with the players who led the way.
563
vs. Ball State Cardinals
597
vs. Texas State Bobcats
Week 1 is an early look. Keep the opponent and game situation in mind.