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Saturday IndexCollege Football Intelligence

Independent college football reporting, rankings, projections, and player research—built to make Saturday clearer.

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2026 season · Week 10 schedule · Week 9 resultsProjections are informational and uncertain—not guarantees.© 2026 Saturday Index
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← Previous free reportsThis week’s free report →

2026 / WEEK 2 / FREE REPORT HISTORY

Ohio State at Texas

The original published forecast and matchup research. This edition stays free, with no account required.

Published projection

Original Week 2 free report
Winner call: missed
TeamSI projectionFinal
Ohio State logoOSU2723
Texas logoTEX2524

OSU off by 4TEX off by 1Total off by 5

Final box score →
Free report historyFree report historyFree · no accountSaturday, September 12 · 7:30 PM EDT
Ohio State logo27
Away · SI No. 2SI No. 2 · AwayOhio StateOSU · Big Ten
Our projected score
27–25

Ohio State 57% win outlook

DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Texas logo25
Home · SI No. 9SI No. 9 · HomeTexasTEX · SEC
Explore player usage ↓
Saturday Index lineOSU -2.5
Spread differenceOSU +4.5 ptsOSU -2.5 projection · Texas -2 market at Sep 10, 1:46 PM
Projected total5249.5 market · Scoring outlook higher by 2.5Market 49.5
Our readOhio State owns the largest Week 1 unit separation in the secondary; Texas's strongest early answer is the quarterback room.
Unit matchupsChoose a battleSelect any matchup to redraw the report.
Selected matchup

Trenches

Ohio State's offensive line against Texas's defensive front.

Ohio State Offensive lineLine yards: 61stStuff avoidance: 40thAvg 6'5" · 314 lb
Week 1 snapshotNo clear edgeOne game · not opponent-adjusted
Texas Defensive frontRush EPA allowed: 55thStuff rate: 53rdAvg 6'4" · 291 lb
TEX defense
Defensive front
Offensive line
OSU offense

Select a player for details.

Player detailIan MooreLT · Week 1 starting left tackle
Players to watch
and

Headliners from opposing units. Select either player for detail.

RoleWeek 1 starterLT
2026 statsBlocking roleStandard box scores do not grade individual blocking. See the unit comparison above.
Recruiting profile★★★★ · 93 rating · No. 168 nationally
Sources & methodology

Forecast modelPremium model

Evidence statusVerified · limited early-season sample

Week 2 coverage49 projections · 5 expanded personnel reports

Current formWeek 1 opener for each team. Unit comparisons are team signals, not individual player grades or frozen-model inputs.

PlayersCompleted-game books, verified roster identity and recruiting history where available. Individual blocking grades are not inferred.

Market snapshotSep 10, 1:46 PM EDT. The model total before whole-score rounding is 51.7: 65% independent total (52.9) and 35% verified market input (49.5). The displayed score total is 52. No-vig comparisons do not imply cover probability or expected value.

Stadium photographyBrint03 · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Cropped for display

Current team and player productionFrozen snapshot 2026-w01-osu-tex-team-form-20260909 from verified final opener box scores and game-level efficiency; each team form index is an FBS percentile using a one-game sample.

Active Premium projectionThe projected score, win outlook and market comparison are read from the active protected Week 2 release at render time; this personnel packet does not duplicate or reconstruct them.

Prior-season matchup contextThe underlying matchup sidecar uses 2025 full-season team efficiency only as explanation context. It is not an input to the displayed score projection and is intentionally omitted from the primary Week 1 view.

Ohio State Week 1 startersOfficial Ball State game book and Ohio State Week 2 game notes; lineup status reflects who started the opener, not an inferred Week 2 assignment.View source

Texas Week 1 startersOfficial Texas State game book and Texas Week 2 game notes; lineup status reflects who started the opener, not an inferred Week 2 assignment.View source

Roster and uniform identityOfficial 2026 Ohio State roster, checked September 9, 2026. Listed player height and weight are used to calculate the displayed trench-unit averages.View source

Texas roster cross-checkOfficial University of Texas 2026 football roster.View source

Recruiting historyStable player-ID matches to the frozen 2026 recruiting snapshot. Recruiting ratings are historical context, not current player grades.

NFL outlookAn NFL.com analyst's ranked review of 2027 prospects from the Senior Bowl Top 300; these are editorial watch-list positions, not projected draft slots.View source

Loading player usage…

About this edition

The score and matchup report are preserved from the original free edition, including the market snapshot used for that report. The player usage section uses available recorded games before Week 2. Scores here are pregame projections, not live probabilities.

Explore this week’s free report →

PLAYER USAGE / FREE FEATURED GAME

Usage charts

Choose a player to explore his workload and game log.

Julian Sayin roster headshot

Ohio State · QB #10

Julian Sayin

320passing yards25attempts

1 completed game in this view.

Explore Ohio State ↗
COMPLETIONS / CHARTED THROWSTap the field ↓
Ohio StateATTACKING DOWNFIELD ↑
LEFTMIDDLERIGHT
20+ air yards
10–19 air yards
0–9 air yards
Behind the line
LINE OF SCRIMMAGE
↑DEPTH FROM THE LINE OF SCRIMMAGE
LOWHIGH SHARE
23 of 25 throws mappedCoverage +

The field needs both air yards and direction. Throws without that detail remain in the recorded play totals.

  • W1 · Ball State23 / 25

1 recorded game

Recorded sample25 recorded throws320 yards gained80% success · 25 classified plays
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Sources & chart notes

2026 observations before Week 2.

Profile totals cover 1 completed games. The field chart covers 1 charted games from recorded game books and available charted plays.

These are grouped passing zones, not exact throw locations. Charted throws are detailed feed rows; penalty or nullified plays can differ from official game-book attempts. Success rate includes only plays with a success classification; the classified sample is shown beside the rate.

Player photo: ESPN roster profile

All Ohio State players · Premium →All Texas players · Premium →