
at Kansas State
Kansas State
Saturday, September 12 · 12:00 PM EDT- Venue
- Bill Snyder Family Stadium
- Win probability
- 16%
Saturday Index
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Pac-12 · 2026 team profile
Program context and schedule for the Cougars.
Photo: Spicypepper999 · CC0 1.0 · Cropped for display

2026 season probabilities
The highlighted finish is the single most likely record—not a fixed list of game results.
Season outlook
Opponent, kickoff, venue, and the latest game outlook.

at Kansas State
Projected 2026 finish
Where Washington State is projected to finish in the Pac-12.
Pac-12 projected standing
#2
4-3 projected · 4.3 expected conference wins · #2 of 8.
Primary team read
How Washington State played in 2025.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Washington State2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
Washington StateOutgoing Transfers
Washington StateSeason schedule
Projected record is the highest-probability season total across every possible outcome. Upcoming rows show each matchup’s win chance, not one locked sequence of wins and losses.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Washington State tried to stay balanced between the run and pass; too many drives still went off schedule.
Why it matters
Neither offensive unit clearly carried the other, so first-down execution decides whether Washington State can stay on plan.
At a glance
The essential 2026 season outlook.
Profile high point
Big-play prevention held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Big-play creation held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.The defense's control of ordinary downs is Washington State's best starting point, though big-play creation keeps it from carrying the plan alone.
Why it matters
That unit is the most credible foundation for making opponents string together clean drives; explosive-play creation remains the first counter an opponent should test.
Big-play creation is Washington State's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can squeeze underneath space and make the offense finish long drives without chunk gains; defensive control has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
Washington State's best path is to stay balanced between the run and pass, then keep winning first down because neither the pass nor run can rescue the other; an average pace puts more weight on winning ordinary downs.
What matters
Washington State's balanced structure played at a balanced pace. Passing finished below-average and rushing finished below-average, without a clear split between them.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Washington State must establish a first-down answer before opponents have to defend both the run and pass.
Why it matters
Without one part of the offense forcing an adjustment, opponents can keep the offense in long-yardage and play from a position of strength.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Washington State played at a balanced pace in 2025.
Why it matters
At that pace, Washington State cannot count on extra possessions or expect to shorten the game.
Washington State's prior passing record was below-average.
Why it matters
Washington State's offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
Why it matters
When Washington State's run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
Washington State was better at preventing explosive plays than creating them.
Why it matters
The defense can keep a game on schedule, but the offense may need longer drives and more third-down conversions to separate.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Washington State's defense was more consistent down to down than its offense.
Why it matters
Washington State's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the pass game as Washington State's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
If an opponent removes the first passing answer, the run game's lower adjusted value becomes the key counter to test.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Washington State's prior defense was above-average overall and strongest in pass defense.
Why it matters
Opponents can trust normal protection and make coverage hold through the route; Washington State needs its pass defense to tighten throwing windows before that plan settles in.
Washington State's available disruption measures finished below the national average last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Washington State's sack production outpaced its broader disruption record.
Why it matters
Washington State's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Washington State's prior run-defense results were below-average.
Why it matters
If Washington State's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.