Week 5 · FinalW
at Rice16–14+2 margin
Pregame 34–23
Game detailsSaturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
American Athletic · 2026 · Week 8
Photo: Yinan Chen · Public domain · Cropped for display
Up next · Week 10
Away
On the road at
Thursday, November 5 · 8:00 PM EST
The season, taking shape
Final scores show UTSA first. Oldest to newest.
at RicePregame 34–23
Game details
vs. South FloridaPregame 24–28
Game details
vs. NavyPregame comparison unavailable
Game detailsOriginal full-season forecast
This forecast retains the original probabilities for the full schedule. It does not update with completed results or this week’s forecast.
2026 results
Current record, team efficiency, player production, and verified results from completed games.
Current record
7-17 wins · 1 lossThrough 8 completed gamesLoading player usage…
Original season forecast
The original American Athletic forecast, retained alongside current results.
American Athletic projected standing
#6
5-3 projected · 4.7 expected conference wins · #6 of 14.
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
UTSA2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
UTSAOutgoing Transfers
UTSASeason schedule
Completed games show final results. Upcoming games use this week’s forecast where available; later games retain their published season outlook.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, UTSA tried to lean on the passing game; the approach consistently kept the offense on schedule.
Why it matters
The passing game was UTSA's more dependable way to stay ahead of the chains; opponents have to interrupt that rhythm without giving the run an easy box.
at TulanePregame 26–27
Game detailsPregame comparisons use preserved published forecasts. Results include wins and losses.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
2026 rates aggregate verified completed-game box scores. EPA is expected points added per play.
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen McCown | 111/159 | 1149 | 7 | 1 |
| David Amador | 1/2 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Henderson III | 68 | 444 | 6.5 | 3 |
| A'Marion Peterson | 34 | 274 | 8.1 | 7 |
| Brandon High | 43 | 215 | 5.0 | 2 |
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Allen | 16 | 254 | 15.9 | 2 |
| AJ Wilson | 17 | 227 | 13.4 | 1 |
| Mekhi Anderson | 22 | 225 | 10.2 | 2 |
| Player | TOT | SOLO | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Tucker Jr. | 35 | 17 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Darion White | 31 | 14 | 3 | 1 |
| Joel Rogers | 25 | 14 | 0.5 | 0 |
Saturday, October 24 · Yulman Stadium
Saturday, October 17 · Alamodome
Thursday, October 8 · Alamodome
Profile high point
Pressure held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Big-play prevention held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.
Front-seven disruption is what UTSA can trust most.
Why it matters
The defense has its best route to changing protection rules before coverage must hold; rushing structure remains the first counter an opponent should test.
UTSA did not show one unit opponents could treat as an automatic target; the run game is only the first place to look.
What matters
UTSA's lowest-rated unit still finished above the national average last season, so opponents do not have an obvious weakness to attack.
UTSA's best path is to use the passing game to stay on schedule and finish drives; fewer possessions make every empty drive more expensive.
What matters
UTSA's pass-leaning structure played at a deliberate pace. The pass game finished strong, while the run game finished above-average.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Opponents have to break UTSA's passing rhythm before it owns early downs.
Why it matters
If UTSA keeps finding routine completions, the defense cannot load the box or turn the rush loose.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
UTSA played at a deliberate pace in 2025.
What matters
UTSA worked with fewer possessions than most teams last season.
UTSA's prior passing record was strong.
Why it matters
A repeatable pass game can let UTSA punish loaded boxes without relying on low-frequency deep completions.
UTSA's prior rushing record was above-average.
Why it matters
When UTSA's run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
UTSA's explosive-play upside came with real defensive volatility.
Why it matters
That mix can produce fast scoring swings in either direction and makes missed tackles or coverage busts especially expensive.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
UTSA won ordinary downs on both sides of the ball.
Why it matters
UTSA's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
UTSA's opponent-adjusted passing and rushing value were closely matched.
Why it matters
When the split is narrow, early-down execution matters more than steering the offense toward one obvious weakness.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
UTSA's prior defense was above-average overall and strongest in disruption.
Why it matters
Opponents can test routine throws without assuming they will stay on schedule; UTSA's disruption can still create negative plays and end drives before that probe becomes dependable.
UTSA's available disruption measures ranked among the best in the country last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Sustained disruption can create negative plays and give UTSA a better chance to end drives before third down.
UTSA created disruption more consistently than it finished sacks.
Why it matters
UTSA's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
UTSA's prior run-defense results were middle-of-the-pack.
Why it matters
If UTSA's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.
