Week 2Away
at Texas State
Texas State
Saturday, September 12 · 3:30 PM EDT- Venue
- Bobcat Stadium (TX)
- Win probability
- 35%
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
American Athletic · 2026 team profile
Program context and schedule for the Roadrunners.
Photo: Yinan Chen · Public domain · Cropped for display
2026 season probabilities
The highlighted finish is the single most likely record—not a fixed list of game results.
Season outlook
Opponent, kickoff, venue, and the latest game outlook.
at Texas State
Projected 2026 finish
Where UTSA is projected to finish in the American Athletic.
American Athletic projected standing
#6
5-3 projected · 4.7 expected conference wins · #6 of 14.
Primary team read
How UTSA played in 2025.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
UTSA2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
UTSAOutgoing Transfers
UTSASeason schedule
Projected record is the highest-probability season total across every possible outcome. Upcoming rows show each matchup’s win chance, not one locked sequence of wins and losses.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, UTSA tried to lean on the passing game; the approach consistently kept the offense on schedule.
Why it matters
The passing game was UTSA's more dependable way to stay ahead of the chains; opponents have to interrupt that rhythm without giving the run an easy box.
At a glance
The essential 2026 season outlook.
Profile high point
Pressure held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Big-play prevention held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.
Front-seven disruption is what UTSA can trust most.
Why it matters
The defense has its best route to changing protection rules before coverage must hold; rushing structure remains the first counter an opponent should test.
UTSA did not show one unit opponents could treat as an automatic target; the run game is only the first place to look.
What matters
UTSA's lowest-rated unit still finished above the national average last season, so opponents do not have an obvious weakness to attack.
UTSA's best path is to use the passing game to stay on schedule and finish drives; fewer possessions make every empty drive more expensive.
What matters
UTSA's pass-leaning structure played at a deliberate pace. The pass game finished strong, while the run game finished above-average.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Opponents have to break UTSA's passing rhythm before it owns early downs.
Why it matters
If UTSA keeps finding routine completions, the defense cannot load the box or turn the rush loose.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
UTSA played at a deliberate pace in 2025.
What matters
UTSA worked with fewer possessions than most teams last season.
UTSA's prior passing record was strong.
Why it matters
A repeatable pass game can let UTSA punish loaded boxes without relying on low-frequency deep completions.
UTSA's prior rushing record was above-average.
Why it matters
When UTSA's run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
UTSA's explosive-play upside came with real defensive volatility.
Why it matters
That mix can produce fast scoring swings in either direction and makes missed tackles or coverage busts especially expensive.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
UTSA won ordinary downs on both sides of the ball.
Why it matters
UTSA's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
UTSA's opponent-adjusted passing and rushing value were closely matched.
Why it matters
When the split is narrow, early-down execution matters more than steering the offense toward one obvious weakness.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
UTSA's prior defense was above-average overall and strongest in disruption.
Why it matters
Opponents can test routine throws without assuming they will stay on schedule; UTSA's disruption can still create negative plays and end drives before that probe becomes dependable.
UTSA's available disruption measures ranked among the best in the country last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Sustained disruption can create negative plays and give UTSA a better chance to end drives before third down.
UTSA created disruption more consistently than it finished sacks.
Why it matters
UTSA's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
UTSA's prior run-defense results were middle-of-the-pack.
Why it matters
If UTSA's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.
