Week 4 · FinalW
vs. Troy21–10+11 margin
Pregame 27–23
Game detailsSaturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Pac-12 · 2026 · Week 8
Photo: Swordsman1989 · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Cropped for display
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Hosting
Saturday, October 31 · 3:30 PM EDT
The season, taking shape
Final scores show Utah State first. Oldest to newest.
vs. TroyPregame 27–23
Game details
at Boise StatePregame 18–33
Game details
vs. Washington StatePregame 24–23
Original full-season forecast
This forecast retains the original probabilities for the full schedule. It does not update with completed results or this week’s forecast.
2026 results
Current record, team efficiency, player production, and verified results from completed games.
Current record
2-52 wins · 5 lossesThrough 7 completed gamesLoading player usage…
Original season forecast
The original Pac-12 forecast, retained alongside current results.
Pac-12 projected standing
#6
3-4 projected · 3.4 expected conference wins · #6 of 8.
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Utah State2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
Utah StateOutgoing Transfers
Utah StateSeason schedule
Completed games show final results. Upcoming games use this week’s forecast where available; later games retain their published season outlook.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Utah State tried to lean on the passing game; the results were uneven when the offense tried to live that way.
Why it matters
Neither offensive unit clearly carried the other, so first-down execution decides whether Utah State can stay on plan.
at Texas StatePregame 24–34
Game detailsPregame comparisons use preserved published forecasts. Results include wins and losses.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
2026 rates aggregate verified completed-game box scores. EPA is expected points added per play.
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grady Brosterhous | 99/178 | 1120 | 7 | 6 |
| McCae Hillstead | 17/37 | 225 | 2 | 4 |
| Anthony Garcia | 1/1 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javen Jacobs | 84 | 435 | 5.2 | 2 |
| Grady Brosterhous | 99 | 270 | 2.7 | 0 |
| McCae Hillstead | 15 | 53 | 3.5 | 0 |
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Wood | 37 | 479 | 12.9 | 5 |
| Javon Robinson | 17 | 257 | 15.1 | 2 |
| Demick Starling | 10 | 139 | 13.9 | 1 |
| Player | TOT | SOLO | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Cunningham | 58 | 24 | 7 | 2.5 |
| Brevin Hamblin | 57 | 29 | 1 | 1 |
| David Kabongo | 35 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 |
Saturday, October 24 · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Friday, October 9 · Maverik Stadium
Saturday, October 3 · Albertsons Stadium
Profile high point
Big-play creation held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Pressure held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.
Big-play creation is what Utah State can trust most.
Why it matters
The offense has its best route to changing field position without requiring flawless drive efficiency; front-seven disruption remains the first counter an opponent should test.
Front-seven disruption is Utah State's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can trust normal protection and make the defense win without steady negative plays; explosive-play creation has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
Utah State is at its best when it can lean on the passing game, then keep winning first down because neither the pass nor run clearly carries the other; extra possessions give that plan time to build.
What matters
Utah State's pass-leaning structure played at a fast pace. Passing finished below-average and rushing finished middle-of-the-pack, without a clear split between them.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Utah State needs first-down execution before either the run or pass can demand extra attention.
Why it matters
Until that happens, opponents can play the situation rather than sell out to stop one identity.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Utah State played at a fast pace in 2025.
Why it matters
More possessions give Utah State's strengths additional chances to build, but they also leave more time to recover from mistakes.
Utah State's prior passing record was below-average.
Why it matters
Utah State's offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
Utah State's prior rushing record was middle-of-the-pack.
Why it matters
When Utah State's run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
Utah State's explosive-play results were mixed rather than a defining edge.
Why it matters
A big play can still flip a possession, but last season's results do not make explosiveness something this team can rely on.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Utah State's down-to-down results were weak overall.
Why it matters
Utah State's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the run game as Utah State's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
Forcing longer passing situations is the clearest way to move the offense away from its stronger adjusted unit.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Utah State's prior defense was weak overall and strongest in pass defense.
What matters
Pass defense finished middle-of-the-pack, while disruption finished bottom-tier; the latter is the first place an offense should test.
Utah State's available disruption measures ranked near the bottom nationally last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Without consistent disruption, Utah State's defense must win more snaps through coverage, leverage, and early-down prevention.
Utah State's sack production outpaced its broader disruption record.
Why it matters
Utah State's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Utah State's prior run-defense results were bottom-tier.
Why it matters
If Utah State's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.
