Week 2Away
at North Texas
North Texas
Saturday, September 12 · 3:45 PM EDT- Venue
- DATCU Stadium
- Win probability
- 40%
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Mountain West · 2026 · Week 1
Current record, next game, remaining schedule, and program outlook for the Rebels.
Photo: U.S. Customs and Border Protection · Public domain · Cropped for display
2026 season probabilities
The highlighted finish is the single most likely record—not a fixed list of game results.
2026 results
Current record, team efficiency, player production, and verified results from completed games.
Current record
0-10 wins · 1 lossThrough 1 completed gameSeason outlook
Opponent, kickoff, venue, and the latest game outlook.
at North Texas
Projected 2026 finish
Where UNLV is projected to finish in the Mountain West.
Mountain West projected standing
#1
6-2 projected · 5.7 expected conference wins · conference favorite.
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
UNLV2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
UNLVOutgoing Transfers
UNLVSeason schedule
Projected record is the highest-probability season total across every possible outcome. Upcoming rows show each matchup’s win chance, not one locked sequence of wins and losses.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, UNLV tried to stay balanced between the run and pass; the approach consistently kept the offense on schedule.
Why it matters
The run game was UNLV's steadier way to stay ahead of the chains; opponents have to win early fits without handing away play action.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
2026 rates aggregate verified completed-game box scores. EPA is expected points added per play.
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Arnold | 25/37 | 291 | 2 | 0 |
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Arnold | 21 | 54 | 2.6 | 1 |
| Jaylon Glover | 5 | 49 | 9.8 | 0 |
| Jai'Den Thomas | 12 | 44 | 3.7 | 0 |
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai'Den Thomas | 6 | 54 | 9.0 | 0 |
| Kayden McGee | 3 | 48 | 16.0 | 1 |
| Tastean Reddicks | 3 | 45 | 15.0 | 0 |
| Player | TOT | SOLO | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Pope | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Cam Santee | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Tre Fulton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Saturday, August 29 · Allegiant Stadium
Profile high point
The run game held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Big-play prevention held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.The run game is what UNLV can trust most.
Why it matters
The offense has its best route to favorable third downs and a credible play-action menu; defensive control remains the first counter an opponent should test.
The first place to test UNLV is the defense's control of ordinary downs, especially on ordinary early downs; the run game has to keep the game on plan.
What matters
UNLV's defensive control ranked in the lower national range last season.
UNLV's best path is to stay balanced between the run and pass, then let the run game finish drives; an average pace puts more weight on winning ordinary downs.
Why it matters
UNLV's clean script is to stay ahead with early-down runs, draw an extra defender into the box, and then use play action; defenses will try to force obvious passing downs. At an average pace, winning ordinary downs matters more than chasing extra possessions.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Opponents have to keep UNLV's run game from turning first down into second-and-manageable.
Why it matters
If UNLV stays on schedule on the ground, the offense keeps more answers available.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
UNLV played at a balanced pace in 2025.
Why it matters
At that pace, UNLV cannot count on extra possessions or expect to shorten the game.
UNLV's prior passing record was strong.
Why it matters
A repeatable pass game can let UNLV punish loaded boxes without relying on low-frequency deep completions.
UNLV's prior rushing record was top-tier.
Why it matters
A sustainable run game keeps UNLV's play action credible and limits obvious passing situations.
UNLV's explosive-play upside came with real defensive volatility.
Why it matters
That mix can produce fast scoring swings in either direction and makes missed tackles or coverage busts especially expensive.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
UNLV's offense was more consistent down to down than its defense.
Why it matters
UNLV's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
UNLV's opponent-adjusted passing and rushing value were closely matched.
Why it matters
When the split is narrow, early-down execution matters more than steering the offense toward one obvious weakness.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
UNLV's prior defense was weak overall and strongest in pass defense.
Why it matters
Opponents can test the fits early enough to keep every offensive option open; UNLV needs its pass defense to tighten throwing windows before that plan settles in.
Why it matters
Without consistent disruption, UNLV's defense must win more snaps through coverage, leverage, and early-down prevention.
UNLV's sack production outpaced its broader disruption record.
Why it matters
UNLV's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
UNLV's prior run-defense results were bottom-tier.
Why it matters
If UNLV's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.
