
at Illinois
Illinois
Thursday, September 3 · 9:00 PM EDT- Venue
- Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
- Television
- BTN
- Live score · team–opponent
- 16–28
- Pregame win probability
- 7%
- Pregame recorded market
- Illinois -28
- Pregame recorded total
- 54.5
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.

American Athletic · 2026 · Week 1
Current record, next game, remaining schedule, and program outlook for the Blazers.
Photo: Unknown contributor · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Cropped for display

2026 season probabilities
The highlighted finish is the single most likely record—not a fixed list of game results.
Live
Opponent, kickoff, venue, and the latest game outlook.

at Illinois
Projected 2026 finish
Where UAB is projected to finish in the American Athletic.
American Athletic projected standing
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
UAB2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
UABOutgoing Transfers
UABSeason schedule
Projected record is the highest-probability season total across every possible outcome. Upcoming rows show each matchup’s win chance, not one locked sequence of wins and losses.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, UAB tried to lean on the passing game; the approach gave the offense a dependable starting point.
Why it matters
The run game was UAB's steadier way to stay ahead of the chains; opponents have to win early fits without handing away play action.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
#12
2-6 projected · 2.3 expected conference wins · #12 of 14.
Profile high point
Big-play creation held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Down-to-down defense held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.
Big-play creation is what UAB can trust most.
Why it matters
The offense has its best route to changing field position without requiring flawless drive efficiency; defensive control remains the first counter an opponent should test.
The defense's control of ordinary downs is UAB's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
What matters
UAB's defensive control ranked near the bottom nationally last season.
UAB's best path is to lean on the passing game, then let the run game finish drives; fewer possessions make every empty drive more expensive.
What matters
UAB's pass-leaning structure played at a deliberate pace. The run game finished strong, while the pass game finished above-average.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Opponents have to keep UAB's run game from turning first down into second-and-manageable.
Why it matters
If UAB stays on schedule on the ground, the offense keeps more answers available.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
UAB played at a deliberate pace in 2025.
What matters
UAB worked with fewer possessions than most teams last season.
UAB's prior passing record was above-average.
Why it matters
UAB's offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
UAB's prior rushing record was strong.
Why it matters
A sustainable run game keeps UAB's play action credible and limits obvious passing situations.
UAB's explosive-play upside came with real defensive volatility.
Why it matters
That mix can produce fast scoring swings in either direction and makes missed tackles or coverage busts especially expensive.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
UAB's offense was more consistent down to down than its defense.
Why it matters
UAB's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the run game as UAB's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
Forcing longer passing situations is the clearest way to move the offense away from its stronger adjusted unit.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
UAB's prior defense was bottom-tier overall, with no clear separation among its main units.
Why it matters
An offense can keep both the run and pass available and test each unit until the defense proves it can win ordinary early downs.
Why it matters
Without consistent disruption, UAB's defense must win more snaps through coverage, leverage, and early-down prevention.
UAB's sack and disruption results were bottom-tier.
Why it matters
UAB's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
UAB's prior run-defense results were bottom-tier.
Why it matters
If UAB's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.