Week 5 · FinalL
vs. North Texas44–45-1 margin
Pregame 25–32
Game detailsSaturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
American Athletic · 2026 · Week 8
Photo: Chippothenut · CC BY 3.0 · Cropped for display
Up next · Week 10
Away
On the road at
Saturday, November 7 · Time TBA
The season, taking shape
Final scores show Tulsa first. Oldest to newest.
vs. North TexasPregame 25–32
Game details
at NavyPregame 23–29
Game details
at RicePregame 27–25
Game detailsOriginal full-season forecast
This forecast retains the original probabilities for the full schedule. It does not update with completed results or this week’s forecast.
2026 results
Current record, team efficiency, player production, and verified results from completed games.
Current record
4-44 wins · 4 lossesThrough 8 completed gamesLoading player usage…
Original season forecast
The original American Athletic forecast, retained alongside current results.
American Athletic projected standing
#11
3-5 projected · 3.1 expected conference wins · #11 of 14.
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Tulsa2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
TulsaOutgoing Transfers
TulsaSeason schedule
Completed games show final results. Upcoming games use this week’s forecast where available; later games retain their published season outlook.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Tulsa tried to stay balanced between the run and pass; it rarely provided an easy foundation.
Why it matters
The run game was Tulsa's less difficult offensive option, but it did not reliably keep the offense on schedule; the offense must prove it can create movement before opponents have to commit extra help.
vs. ArmyPregame 25–28
Game detailsPregame comparisons use preserved published forecasts. Results include wins and losses.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
2026 rates aggregate verified completed-game box scores. EPA is expected points added per play.
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor Hayes | 122/195 | 1343 | 10 | 2 |
| Dexter Williams II | 20/33 | 176 | 0 | 0 |
| Oran Singleton Jr. | 1/3 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trequan Jones | 53 | 374 | 7.1 | 4 |
| Damari Alston | 94 | 357 | 3.8 | 5 |
| Baylor Hayes | 35 | 70 | 2.0 | 2 |
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oran Singleton Jr. | 41 | 497 | 12.1 | 3 |
| Javon Ross | 26 | 304 | 11.7 | 3 |
| David Wells Jr. | 15 | 194 | 12.9 | 3 |
| Player | TOT | SOLO | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Thompson Jr. | 73 | 24 | 2.5 | 1 |
| Dax Collins | 60 | 23 | 4 | 2.5 |
| Tyson Williams | 45 | 23 | 0.5 | 0 |
Friday, October 23 · Chapman Stadium
Saturday, October 17 · Rice Stadium
Saturday, October 10 · Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Profile high point
Big-play prevention held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Pressure held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.
Big-play creation is Tulsa's best starting point, though front-seven disruption keeps it from carrying the plan alone.
Why it matters
The offense has its best route to changing field position without requiring flawless drive efficiency; front-seven disruption remains the first counter an opponent should test.
Front-seven disruption is Tulsa's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can trust normal protection and make the defense win without steady negative plays; explosive-play creation has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
Tulsa's best path is to stay balanced between the run and pass, then let the run game finish drives; extra possessions give that plan time to build.
Why it matters
Tulsa's clean script is to stay ahead with early-down runs, draw an extra defender into the box, and then use play action; defenses will try to force obvious passing downs. At a faster pace, an early-down advantage gets more chances to build.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Before defenses have to commit extra help, Tulsa must prove the run can create manageable second downs.
What matters
Last season's rushing results did not establish dependable movement or a steady play-action foundation.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Tulsa played at a fast pace in 2025.
Why it matters
More possessions give Tulsa's strengths additional chances to build, but they also leave more time to recover from mistakes.
Tulsa's prior passing record was bottom-tier.
Why it matters
Tulsa's offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
Tulsa's prior rushing record was weak.
Why it matters
When Tulsa's run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
Tulsa's explosive-play results were mixed rather than a defining edge.
Why it matters
A big play can still flip a possession, but last season's results do not make explosiveness something this team can rely on.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Tulsa's down-to-down results were weak overall.
Why it matters
Tulsa's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the run game as Tulsa's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
Forcing longer passing situations is the clearest way to move the offense away from its stronger adjusted unit.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Tulsa's prior defense was below-average overall and strongest in run front.
Why it matters
Opponents can trust normal protection and make coverage hold through the route; Tulsa needs its run front to create long-yardage without overloading the box before that plan settles in.
Tulsa's available disruption measures ranked near the bottom nationally last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Without consistent disruption, Tulsa's defense must win more snaps through coverage, leverage, and early-down prevention.
Tulsa's sack production outpaced its broader disruption record.
Why it matters
Tulsa's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Tulsa's prior run-defense results were middle-of-the-pack.
Why it matters
If Tulsa's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.
