
vs South Alabama
South Alabama
Saturday, September 12 · 7:00 PM EDT- Venue
- Yulman Stadium
- Win probability
- 80%
Saturday Index
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American Athletic · 2026 team profile
Program context and schedule for the Green Wave.
Photo: ajay_suresh · CC BY 4.0 · Cropped for display

2026 season probabilities
The highlighted finish is the single most likely record—not a fixed list of game results.
Season outlook
Opponent, kickoff, venue, and the latest game outlook.

vs South Alabama
Projected 2026 finish
Where Tulane is projected to finish in the American Athletic.
American Athletic projected standing
#3
5-3 projected · 5.1 expected conference wins · #3 of 14.
Primary team read
How Tulane played in 2025.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Tulane2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
TulaneOutgoing Transfers
TulaneSeason schedule
Projected record is the highest-probability season total across every possible outcome. Upcoming rows show each matchup’s win chance, not one locked sequence of wins and losses.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Tulane tried to lean on the running game; the approach consistently kept the offense on schedule.
Why it matters
The passing game was Tulane's more dependable way to stay ahead of the chains; opponents have to interrupt that rhythm without giving the run an easy box.
At a glance
The essential 2026 season outlook.
Profile high point
Passing held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Big-play creation held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.The passing game is what Tulane can trust most.
Why it matters
The opening plan has its best answer when opponents crowd the box or force obvious throwing situations; explosive-play creation remains the first counter an opponent should test.
Big-play creation is Tulane's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can squeeze underneath space and make the offense finish long drives without chunk gains; passing efficiency has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
Tulane's best path is to lean on the running game, then let the passing game finish drives; an average pace puts more weight on winning ordinary downs.
What matters
Tulane's run-leaning structure played at a balanced pace. The pass game finished top-tier, while the run game finished above-average.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Opponents have to break Tulane's passing rhythm before it owns early downs.
Why it matters
If Tulane keeps finding routine completions, the defense cannot load the box or turn the rush loose.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Tulane played at a balanced pace in 2025.
Why it matters
At that pace, Tulane cannot count on extra possessions or expect to shorten the game.
Tulane's prior passing record was top-tier.
Why it matters
A repeatable pass game can let Tulane punish loaded boxes without relying on low-frequency deep completions.
Tulane's prior rushing record was above-average.
Why it matters
A sustainable run game keeps Tulane's play action credible and limits obvious passing situations.
Tulane was better at preventing explosive plays than creating them.
Why it matters
The defense can keep a game on schedule, but the offense may need longer drives and more third-down conversions to separate.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Tulane's offense was more consistent down to down than its defense.
Why it matters
Tulane's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the pass game as Tulane's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
If an opponent removes the first passing answer, the run game's lower adjusted value becomes the key counter to test.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Tulane's prior defense was middle-of-the-pack overall and strongest in disruption.
Why it matters
Opponents can use efficient throws to stay out of obvious passing downs; Tulane needs its disruption to change protection and erase drives with negative plays before that plan settles in.
Tulane's available disruption measures finished above the national average last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Sustained disruption can create negative plays and give Tulane a better chance to end drives before third down.
Tulane's disruption regularly finished at the quarterback.
What matters
Both sack production and front-seven disruption cleared the FBS midpoint.
Tulane's prior run-defense results were below-average.
Why it matters
If Tulane's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.