Week 4 · FinalL
at Kentucky21–45-24 margin
Pregame 19–36
Game detailsSaturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Sun Belt · 2026 · Week 8
Photo: Quintin Soloviev · CC BY 4.0 · Cropped for display
Up next · Week 9
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Hosting
Saturday, October 31 · Time TBA
The season, taking shape
Final scores show South Alabama first. Oldest to newest.
at KentuckyPregame 19–36
Game details
vs. UL MonroePregame 34–22
Game details
at Arkansas StatePregame 26–29
Original full-season forecast
This forecast retains the original probabilities for the full schedule. It does not update with completed results or this week’s forecast.
2026 results
Current record, team efficiency, player production, and verified results from completed games.
Current record
4-34 wins · 3 lossesThrough 7 completed gamesLoading player usage…
Original season forecast
The original Sun Belt forecast, retained alongside current results.
Sun Belt projected standing
#9
3-5 projected · 3.5 expected conference wins · #9 of 14.
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
South Alabama2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
South AlabamaOutgoing Transfers
South AlabamaSeason schedule
Completed games show final results. Upcoming games use this week’s forecast where available; later games retain their published season outlook.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, South Alabama tried to lean on the running game; too many drives still went off schedule.
Why it matters
The run game was South Alabama's more workable option, not an established edge; defenses can fit it honestly until early-down success forces extra support.
at MarshallPregame 28–30
Game detailsPregame comparisons use preserved published forecasts. Results include wins and losses.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
2026 rates aggregate verified completed-game box scores. EPA is expected points added per play.
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Hollins | 68/125 | 1003 | 7 | 3 |
| Bishop Davenport | 40/59 | 450 | 3 | 0 |
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keenan Phillips | 96 | 514 | 5.4 | 5 |
| PJ Martin | 106 | 470 | 4.4 | 7 |
| Trae'von Dunbar | 50 | 272 | 5.4 | 4 |
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Jenkins | 25 | 430 | 17.2 | 3 |
| Anthony Eager | 13 | 348 | 26.8 | 4 |
| Jeremiah Jones-Thomas | 23 | 266 | 11.6 | 1 |
| Player | TOT | SOLO | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Blaylock | 46 | 26 | 3.5 | 0 |
| Jordon Williams | 38 | 12 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Dallas Young | 36 | 19 | 0.5 | 0 |
Tuesday, October 20 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Thursday, October 8 · Centennial Bank Stadium
Saturday, October 3 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
Profile high point
The run game held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Pressure held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.
South Alabama did not have one unit that could carry the whole game plan; the run game came closest.
What matters
Even South Alabama's best unit finished near the national middle last season, leaving no proven strength to build around.
Front-seven disruption is South Alabama's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can trust normal protection and make the defense win without steady negative plays; rushing structure has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
South Alabama is at its best when it can use the running game to control early downs and finish drives; extra possessions give that plan time to build.
What matters
South Alabama's run-heavy structure played at a fast pace. The run game finished middle-of-the-pack, while the pass game finished below-average.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
The first question for South Alabama is whether the run game can make defenses commit an extra fit.
What matters
Efficient early runs are the most workable route to keeping play action alive, not an established advantage.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
South Alabama played at a fast pace in 2025.
Why it matters
More possessions give South Alabama's strengths additional chances to build, but they also leave more time to recover from mistakes.
South Alabama's prior passing record was below-average.
Why it matters
South Alabama's offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
South Alabama's prior rushing record was middle-of-the-pack.
Why it matters
When South Alabama's run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
South Alabama's explosive-play results were mixed rather than a defining edge.
Why it matters
A big play can still flip a possession, but last season's results do not make explosiveness something this team can rely on.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
South Alabama's down-to-down results were below-average overall.
Why it matters
South Alabama's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the run game as South Alabama's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
Forcing longer passing situations is the clearest way to move the offense away from its stronger adjusted unit.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
South Alabama's prior defense was weak overall and strongest in pass defense.
What matters
Pass defense finished below-average, while run front finished bottom-tier; the latter is the first place an offense should test.
South Alabama's available disruption measures ranked in the lower national range last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Without consistent disruption, South Alabama's defense must win more snaps through coverage, leverage, and early-down prevention.
South Alabama created disruption more consistently than it finished sacks.
Why it matters
South Alabama's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
South Alabama's prior run-defense results were bottom-tier.
Why it matters
If South Alabama's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.
