Week 2Home
vs Cal Poly
Cal Poly
Saturday, September 12 · Time TBA- Venue
- CEFCU Stadium
- Model outlook
- Projected win
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Mountain West · 2026 · Week 1
Current record, next game, remaining schedule, and program outlook for the Spartans.
Saturday Index venue illustration
2026 season probabilities
The highlighted finish is the single most likely record—not a fixed list of game results.
2026 results
Current record, team efficiency, player production, and verified results from completed games.
Current record
0-10 wins · 1 lossThrough 1 completed gameSeason outlook
Opponent, kickoff, venue, and the latest game outlook.
vs Cal Poly
Projected 2026 finish
Where San José State is projected to finish in the Mountain West.
Mountain West projected standing
#10
2-7 projected · 2.6 expected conference wins · #10 of 10.
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
San José State2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
San José StateOutgoing Transfers
San José StateSeason schedule
Projected record is the highest-probability season total across every possible outcome. Upcoming rows show each matchup’s win chance, not one locked sequence of wins and losses.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, San José State tried to lean on the passing game; the approach gave the offense a dependable starting point.
Why it matters
The run game was San José State's steadier way to stay ahead of the chains; opponents have to win early fits without handing away play action.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
2026 rates aggregate verified completed-game box scores. EPA is expected points added per play.
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Weaver | 21/32 | 234 | 2 | 0 |
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Weaver | 8 | 42 | 5.3 | 1 |
| Jabari Bates | 11 | 37 | 3.4 | 0 |
| Viliami Teu | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | 0 |
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Clark | 6 | 74 | 12.3 | 0 |
| Jerry Mcclure | 6 | 68 | 11.3 | 1 |
| Anthony Ivey | 2 | 34 | 17.0 | 0 |
| Player | TOT | SOLO | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naseri Danielson | 10 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Caleb Womack | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Powell | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
Saturday, August 29 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Profile high point
The run game held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Pressure held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.San José State can lean on the run game when a drive slips off schedule, but front-seven disruption still needs support.
What matters
San José State's rushing structure ranked in a strong national range last season.
Front-seven disruption is San José State's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can trust normal protection and make the defense win without steady negative plays; rushing structure has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
For San José State, the cleanest script is to lean on the passing game, then let the run game finish drives; extra possessions give that plan time to build.
What matters
San José State's pass-heavy structure played at a fast pace. The run game finished strong, while the pass game finished below-average.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Opponents have to keep San José State's run game from turning first down into second-and-manageable.
What matters
Early run success keeps play action alive and prevents the defense from dictating obvious passing downs.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
San José State played at a fast pace in 2025.
Why it matters
More possessions give San José State's strengths additional chances to build, but they also leave more time to recover from mistakes.
San José State's prior passing record was below-average.
Why it matters
San José State's offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
San José State's prior rushing record was strong.
Why it matters
A sustainable run game keeps San José State's play action credible and limits obvious passing situations.
San José State's explosive-play results were mixed rather than a defining edge.
Why it matters
A big play can still flip a possession, but last season's results do not make explosiveness something this team can rely on.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
San José State's offense was more consistent down to down than its defense.
Why it matters
San José State's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
San José State's opponent-adjusted passing and rushing value were closely matched.
Why it matters
When the split is narrow, early-down execution matters more than steering the offense toward one obvious weakness.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
San José State's prior defense was weak overall and strongest in run front.
What matters
Run front finished below-average, while disruption finished bottom-tier; the latter is the first place an offense should test.
San José State's available disruption measures ranked near the bottom nationally last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
San José State's sack and disruption results were bottom-tier.
Why it matters
San José State's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Why it matters
If San José State's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.
