Week 2Away
at UCLA
UCLA
Saturday, September 12 · 7:15 PM EDT- Venue
- Rose Bowl
- Win probability
- 25%
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Pac-12 · 2026 team profile
Program context and schedule for the Aztecs.
Photo: Spatms · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Cropped for display
2026 season probabilities
The highlighted finish is the single most likely record—not a fixed list of game results.
Season outlook
Opponent, kickoff, venue, and the latest game outlook.
at UCLA
Projected 2026 finish
Where San Diego State is projected to finish in the Pac-12.
Pac-12 projected standing
#4
4-3 projected · 4.1 expected conference wins · #4 of 8.
Primary team read
How San Diego State played in 2025.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
San Diego State2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
San Diego StateOutgoing Transfers
San Diego StateSeason schedule
Projected record is the highest-probability season total across every possible outcome. Upcoming rows show each matchup’s win chance, not one locked sequence of wins and losses.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, San Diego State tried to lean on the running game; too many drives still went off schedule.
Why it matters
The run game was San Diego State's steadier way to stay ahead of the chains; opponents have to win early fits without handing away play action.
At a glance
The essential 2026 season outlook.
Profile high point
Big-play prevention held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Passing held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.The defense's control of ordinary downs is what San Diego State can trust most.
Why it matters
That unit is the most credible foundation for making opponents string together clean drives; passing efficiency remains the first counter an opponent should test.
The passing game is San Diego State's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can crowd early downs and make the pass game carry obvious throwing situations; defensive control has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
San Diego State is at its best when it can use the running game to control early downs and finish drives; an average pace puts more weight on winning ordinary downs.
What matters
San Diego State's run-heavy structure played at a balanced pace. The run game finished strong, while the pass game finished bottom-tier.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Opponents have to keep San Diego State's run game from turning first down into second-and-manageable.
What matters
Early run success keeps play action alive and prevents the defense from dictating obvious passing downs.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
San Diego State played at a balanced pace in 2025.
Why it matters
At that pace, San Diego State cannot count on extra possessions or expect to shorten the game.
San Diego State's prior passing record was bottom-tier.
Why it matters
San Diego State's offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
San Diego State's prior rushing record was strong.
Why it matters
A sustainable run game keeps San Diego State's play action credible and limits obvious passing situations.
San Diego State was better at preventing explosive plays than creating them.
Why it matters
The defense can keep a game on schedule, but the offense may need longer drives and more third-down conversions to separate.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
San Diego State's defense was more consistent down to down than its offense.
Why it matters
San Diego State's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the run game as San Diego State's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
Forcing longer passing situations is the clearest way to move the offense away from its stronger adjusted unit.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
San Diego State's prior defense was strong overall and strongest in pass defense.
What matters
Pass defense finished top-tier, while disruption finished weak; the latter is the first place an offense should test.
San Diego State's available disruption measures ranked in the lower national range last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
San Diego State's sack production outpaced its broader disruption record.
Why it matters
San Diego State's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
San Diego State's prior run-defense results were above-average.
Why it matters
If San Diego State's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.
