Week 2Home
vs Tulsa
Tulsa
Saturday, September 12 · 7:00 PM EDT- Venue
- Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
- Win probability
- 43%
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Conference USA · 2026 team profile
Program context and schedule for the Bearkats.
Photo: Larry D. Moore · CC BY 4.0 · Cropped for display
2026 season probabilities
The highlighted finish is the single most likely record—not a fixed list of game results.
Season outlook
Opponent, kickoff, venue, and the latest game outlook.
vs Tulsa
Projected 2026 finish
Where Sam Houston is projected to finish in the Conference USA.
Conference USA projected standing
#10
2-6 projected · 2.5 expected conference wins · #10 of 10.
Primary team read
How Sam Houston played in 2025.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Sam Houston2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
Sam HoustonOutgoing Transfers
Sam HoustonSeason schedule
Projected record is the highest-probability season total across every possible outcome. Upcoming rows show each matchup’s win chance, not one locked sequence of wins and losses.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Sam Houston tried to lean on the passing game; it rarely provided an easy foundation.
Why it matters
The run game was Sam Houston's less difficult offensive option, but it did not reliably keep the offense on schedule; the offense must prove it can create movement before opponents have to commit extra help.
At a glance
The essential 2026 season outlook.
Profile high point
Big-play prevention held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Passing held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.Sam Houston did not have one unit that could carry the whole game plan; big-play creation came closest.
What matters
Even Sam Houston's best unit finished near the national middle last season, leaving no proven strength to build around.
The passing game is Sam Houston's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can crowd early downs and make the pass game carry obvious throwing situations; explosive-play creation has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
Sam Houston is at its best when it can lean on the passing game, then let the run game finish drives; an average pace puts more weight on winning ordinary downs.
What matters
Sam Houston's pass-first structure played at a balanced pace. The run game finished weak, while the pass game finished bottom-tier.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Before defenses have to commit extra help, Sam Houston must prove the run can create manageable second downs.
What matters
Last season's rushing results did not establish dependable movement or a steady play-action foundation.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Sam Houston played at a balanced pace in 2025.
Why it matters
At that pace, Sam Houston cannot count on extra possessions or expect to shorten the game.
Sam Houston's prior passing record was bottom-tier.
Why it matters
Sam Houston's offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
Sam Houston's prior rushing record was weak.
Why it matters
When Sam Houston's run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
Sam Houston's explosive-play results were mixed rather than a defining edge.
Why it matters
A big play can still flip a possession, but last season's results do not make explosiveness something this team can rely on.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Sam Houston's down-to-down results were bottom-tier overall.
Why it matters
Sam Houston's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the run game as Sam Houston's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
Forcing longer passing situations is the clearest way to move the offense away from its stronger adjusted unit.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Sam Houston's prior defense was bottom-tier overall and strongest in disruption.
Why it matters
Opponents can use efficient throws to stay out of obvious passing downs; Sam Houston needs its disruption to change protection and erase drives with negative plays before that plan settles in.
Sam Houston's available disruption measures finished below the national average last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Without consistent disruption, Sam Houston's defense must win more snaps through coverage, leverage, and early-down prevention.
Sam Houston's sack and disruption results were below-average.
Why it matters
Sam Houston's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Sam Houston's prior run-defense results were weak.
Why it matters
If Sam Houston's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.
