Week 4 · FinalW
at UTEP33–7+26 margin
Pregame 29–25
Game detailsSaturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Pac-12 · 2026 · Week 8
Photo: Thomasg86 · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Cropped for display
Up next · Week 9
Away
On the road at
Saturday, October 31 · Time TBA
The season, taking shape
Final scores show Oregon State first. Oldest to newest.
at UTEPPregame 29–25
Game details
at Colorado StatePregame 29–28
Game details
vs. San Diego StatePregame 30–25
Original full-season forecast
This forecast retains the original probabilities for the full schedule. It does not update with completed results or this week’s forecast.
2026 results
Current record, team efficiency, player production, and verified results from completed games.
Current record
5-25 wins · 2 lossesThrough 7 completed gamesLoading player usage…
Original season forecast
The original Pac-12 forecast, retained alongside current results.
Pac-12 projected standing
#7
2-5 projected · 1.9 expected conference wins · #7 of 8.
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Oregon State2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
Oregon StateOutgoing Transfers
Oregon StateSeason schedule
Completed games show final results. Upcoming games use this week’s forecast where available; later games retain their published season outlook.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Oregon State tried to lean on the passing game; it rarely provided an easy foundation.
Why it matters
Neither offensive unit clearly carried the other, so first-down execution decides whether Oregon State can stay on plan.
vs. Washington StatePregame 30–22
Game detailsPregame comparisons use preserved published forecasts. Results include wins and losses.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
2026 rates aggregate verified completed-game box scores. EPA is expected points added per play.
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Atkinson | 186/270 | 2569 | 24 | 2 |
| Maalik Murphy | 11/12 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| Team | 1/1 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Newberry | 65 | 431 | 6.6 | 3 |
| Cornell Hatcher Jr. | 42 | 214 | 5.1 | 4 |
| Tre Garrison | 29 | 103 | 3.6 | 0 |
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Legree | 46 | 1040 | 22.6 | 14 |
| Eric Olsen | 30 | 353 | 11.8 | 3 |
| AJ Newberry | 24 | 288 | 12.0 | 1 |
| Player | TOT | SOLO | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aiden Sullivan | 53 | 22 | 3.5 | 2 |
| Takari Hickle | 38 | 16 | 10.5 | 6 |
| Gyriece Goodman | 34 | 17 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Saturday, October 17 · Reser Stadium
Saturday, October 10 · Reser Stadium
Saturday, October 3 · Canvas Stadium
Profile high point
Down-to-down defense held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Big-play creation held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.
Oregon State can lean on the defense's control of ordinary downs when a drive slips off schedule, but big-play creation still needs support.
Why it matters
That unit is the most credible foundation for making opponents string together clean drives; explosive-play creation remains the first counter an opponent should test.
Big-play creation is Oregon State's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can squeeze underneath space and make the offense finish long drives without chunk gains; defensive control has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
Oregon State's best path is to lean on the passing game, then keep winning first down because neither the pass nor run can rescue the other; extra possessions give that plan time to build.
What matters
Oregon State's pass-leaning structure played at a fast pace. Passing finished weak and rushing finished weak, without a clear split between them.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Oregon State must establish a first-down answer before opponents have to defend both the run and pass.
Why it matters
Without one part of the offense forcing an adjustment, opponents can keep the offense in long-yardage and play from a position of strength.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Oregon State played at a fast pace in 2025.
Why it matters
More possessions give Oregon State's strengths additional chances to build, but they also leave more time to recover from mistakes.
Oregon State's prior passing record was weak.
Why it matters
Oregon State's offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
Why it matters
When Oregon State's run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
Explosive plays were a two-way concern in Oregon State's record last season.
Why it matters
That combination increases dependence on sustained drives while leaving little margin for a missed fit or coverage error.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Oregon State's defense was more consistent down to down than its offense.
Why it matters
Oregon State's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Oregon State's opponent-adjusted passing and rushing value were closely matched.
Why it matters
When the split is narrow, early-down execution matters more than steering the offense toward one obvious weakness.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Oregon State's prior defense was strong overall and strongest in run front.
Why it matters
Opponents can start by using routine throws to stay out of obvious passing downs, though that unit still finished above-average. Oregon State's run front can still create long-yardage without overloading the box, so the offense has to prove the opening will hold up.
Oregon State's available disruption measures ranked in a strong national range last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Sustained disruption can create negative plays and give Oregon State a better chance to end drives before third down.
Oregon State created disruption more consistently than it finished sacks.
Why it matters
Oregon State's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Why it matters
A dependable run front can let Oregon State create obvious passing downs without committing extra bodies to the box.
