Week 5 · FinalL
at Georgia State10–42-32 margin
Pregame 25–28
Game detailsSaturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Sun Belt · 2026 · Week 8
Photo: Quintin Soloviev · CC BY 4.0 · Cropped for display
Up next · Week 9
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Hosting
Saturday, October 31 · Time TBA
The season, taking shape
Final scores show Old Dominion first. Oldest to newest.
at Georgia StatePregame 25–28
Game details
at App StatePregame 23–29
Game details
vs. Georgia SouthernPregame
Original full-season forecast
This forecast retains the original probabilities for the full schedule. It does not update with completed results or this week’s forecast.
2026 results
Current record, team efficiency, player production, and verified results from completed games.
Current record
2-62 wins · 6 lossesThrough 8 completed gamesLoading player usage…
Original season forecast
The original Sun Belt forecast, retained alongside current results.
Sun Belt projected standing
#5
4-4 projected · 4.3 expected conference wins · #5 of 14.
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Old Dominion2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
Old DominionOutgoing Transfers
Old DominionSeason schedule
Completed games show final results. Upcoming games use this week’s forecast where available; later games retain their published season outlook.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Old Dominion tried to lean on the running game; the approach consistently kept the offense on schedule.
Why it matters
Neither offensive unit clearly carried the other, so first-down execution decides whether Old Dominion can stay on plan.
at Louisiana TechPregame 19–30
Game detailsPregame comparisons use preserved published forecasts. Results include wins and losses.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
2026 rates aggregate verified completed-game box scores. EPA is expected points added per play.
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Henicle | 54/98 | 650 | 4 | 4 |
| Ryan Huff | 32/62 | 394 | 2 | 1 |
| Jaxon Potter | 20/39 | 166 | 0 | 1 |
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Roche | 103 | 388 | 3.8 | 0 |
| Quinn Henicle | 87 | 339 | 3.9 | 4 |
| Maurki James | 26 | 73 | 2.8 | 2 |
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson | 17 | 265 | 15.6 | 3 |
| Josh Rodriguez | 21 | 234 | 11.1 | 0 |
| Kendall Harris | 18 | 205 | 11.4 | 0 |
| Player | TOT | SOLO | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Struck | 60 | 20 | 4.5 | 0 |
| Mario Thompson | 53 | 18 | 5.5 | 1 |
| Jackson Forrest | 52 | 16 | 7 | 3 |
Saturday, October 24 · Joe Aillet Stadium
Thursday, October 15 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
Saturday, October 10 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
Profile high point
Big-play prevention held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Big-play creation held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures but still sat comfortably above average.
Front-seven disruption is what Old Dominion can trust most.
Why it matters
The defense has its best route to changing protection rules before coverage must hold; explosive-play creation remains the first counter an opponent should test.
Old Dominion did not show one unit opponents could treat as an automatic target, even at its lowest point.
Why it matters
No unit fell far enough to become an automatic target, so explosive-play creation is only the first thing worth testing, not a weakness opponents can assume.
Old Dominion is at its best when it can lean on the running game, then keep both the pass and run available because neither part of the offense has to carry the plan alone; fewer possessions make every empty drive more expensive.
What matters
Old Dominion's run-first structure played at a deliberate pace. Passing finished strong and rushing finished strong, without a clear split between them.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Opponents have to win first down before Old Dominion can keep both answers available.
What matters
Neither the pass nor run separated enough to become the only priority, so first-down execution is the real target.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Old Dominion played at a deliberate pace in 2025.
What matters
Old Dominion worked with fewer possessions than most teams last season.
Old Dominion's prior passing record was strong.
Why it matters
A repeatable pass game can let Old Dominion punish loaded boxes without relying on low-frequency deep completions.
Why it matters
A sustainable run game keeps Old Dominion's play action credible and limits obvious passing situations.
Old Dominion both created and limited explosive plays at a strong prior-season level.
Why it matters
That combination can change a game without forcing the offense to trade efficiency for low-percentage shots.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Old Dominion won ordinary downs on both sides of the ball.
Why it matters
Old Dominion's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Old Dominion's opponent-adjusted passing and rushing value were closely matched.
Why it matters
When the split is narrow, early-down execution matters more than steering the offense toward one obvious weakness.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Old Dominion's prior defense was top-tier overall and strongest in pass defense.
Why it matters
Opponents can test the fits without assuming the run will keep every offensive option open; Old Dominion's pass defense can still tighten throwing windows before that probe becomes dependable.
Old Dominion's available disruption measures ranked among the best in the country last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Sustained disruption can create negative plays and give Old Dominion a better chance to end drives before third down.
Old Dominion's disruption regularly finished at the quarterback.
What matters
Both sack production and front-seven disruption cleared the FBS midpoint.
Old Dominion's prior run-defense results were middle-of-the-pack.
Why it matters
If Old Dominion's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.
