Week 2Away
at Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic
Saturday, September 12 · 7:30 PM EDT- Venue
- FAU Stadium
- Win probability
- 48%
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
American Athletic · 2026 team profile
Program context and schedule for the Midshipmen.
Photo: Damon J. Moritz · Public domain · Cropped for display
2026 season probabilities
Season outlook
Opponent, kickoff, venue, and the latest game outlook.
at Florida Atlantic
Projected 2026 finish
Where Navy is projected to finish in the American Athletic.
American Athletic projected standing
#7
5-4 projected · 4.5 expected conference wins · #7 of 14.
Primary team read
How Navy played in 2025.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Navy2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Outgoing Transfers
NavySeason schedule
Projected record is the highest-probability season total across every possible outcome. Upcoming rows show each matchup’s win chance, not one locked sequence of wins and losses.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Navy tried to lean on the running game; the approach consistently kept the offense on schedule.
Why it matters
The run game was Navy's steadier way to stay ahead of the chains; opponents have to win early fits without handing away play action.
At a glance
The essential 2026 season outlook.
Profile high point
The run game held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Pressure held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.The run game is what Navy can trust most.
Why it matters
The offense has its best route to favorable third downs and a credible play-action menu; front-seven disruption remains the first counter an opponent should test.
Front-seven disruption is Navy's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can trust normal protection and make the defense win without steady negative plays; rushing structure has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
Navy's best path is to use the running game to control early downs and finish drives; an average pace puts more weight on winning ordinary downs.
What matters
Navy's run-heavy structure played at a balanced pace. The run game finished top-tier, while the pass game finished strong.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Opponents have to keep Navy's run game from turning first down into second-and-manageable.
Why it matters
If Navy stays on schedule on the ground, the offense keeps more answers available.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Navy played at a balanced pace in 2025.
Why it matters
At that pace, Navy cannot count on extra possessions or expect to shorten the game.
Navy's prior passing record was strong.
Why it matters
A repeatable pass game can let Navy punish loaded boxes without relying on low-frequency deep completions.
Navy's prior rushing record was top-tier.
Why it matters
A sustainable run game keeps Navy's play action credible and limits obvious passing situations.
Navy's explosive-play results were mixed rather than a defining edge.
Why it matters
A big play can still flip a possession, but last season's results do not make explosiveness something this team can rely on.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Navy's offense was more consistent down to down than its defense.
Why it matters
Navy's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the run game as Navy's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
Forcing longer passing situations is the clearest way to move the offense away from its stronger adjusted unit.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Navy's prior defense was weak overall and strongest in run front.
Why it matters
Opponents can trust normal protection and make coverage hold through the route; Navy needs its run front to create long-yardage without overloading the box before that plan settles in.
Navy's available disruption measures ranked near the bottom nationally last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Without consistent disruption, Navy's defense must win more snaps through coverage, leverage, and early-down prevention.
Navy's sack production outpaced its broader disruption record.
Why it matters
Navy's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Navy's prior run-defense results were above-average.
Why it matters
A dependable run front can let Navy create obvious passing downs without committing extra bodies to the box.
