Week 5 · FinalL
vs. Bowling Green20–24-4 margin
Pregame 29–19
Game detailsSaturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Mid-American · 2026 · Week 8
Photo: Greenstrat · Public domain · Cropped for display
Up next · Week 10
Home
Hosting
Tuesday, November 3 · Time TBA
The season, taking shape
Final scores show Miami (OH) first. Oldest to newest.
vs. Bowling GreenPregame 29–19
Game details
at MassachusettsPregame 28–23
Game details
vs. AkronPregame 31–19
Original full-season forecast
This forecast retains the original probabilities for the full schedule. It does not update with completed results or this week’s forecast.
2026 results
Current record, team efficiency, player production, and verified results from completed games.
Current record
5-35 wins · 3 lossesThrough 8 completed gamesLoading player usage…
Original season forecast
The original Mid-American forecast, retained alongside current results.
Mid-American projected standing
#5
5-3 projected · 5.0 expected conference wins · #5 of 13.
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Miami (OH)2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
Miami (OH)Outgoing Transfers
Miami (OH)Season schedule
Completed games show final results. Upcoming games use this week’s forecast where available; later games retain their published season outlook.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Miami (OH) tried to lean on the running game; it rarely provided an easy foundation.
Why it matters
The run game was Miami (OH)'s more workable option, not an established edge; defenses can fit it honestly until early-down success forces extra support.
at Central MichiganPregame 24–25
Game detailsPregame comparisons use preserved published forecasts. Results include wins and losses.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
2026 rates aggregate verified completed-game box scores. EPA is expected points added per play.
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David McComb | 65/103 | 1120 | 7 | 1 |
| Caleb Heavner | 56/102 | 615 | 3 | 4 |
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Nelson | 78 | 391 | 5.0 | 3 |
| Caleb Heavner | 53 | 217 | 4.1 | 2 |
| D'Shawntae Jones | 55 | 173 | 3.1 | 3 |
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maleek Huggins | 24 | 431 | 18.0 | 1 |
| Damarion Witten | 17 | 346 | 20.4 | 4 |
| Lynel Billups-Williams | 24 | 289 | 12.0 | 2 |
| Player | TOT | SOLO | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Mccain | 59 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| Blayne Myrick | 46 | 19 | 4 | 0.5 |
| Dillon Tatum | 43 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Saturday, October 24 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Saturday, October 17 · Yager Stadium
Saturday, October 10 · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Profile high point
Down-to-down defense held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Passing held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.
The defense's control of ordinary downs is what Miami (OH) can trust most.
Why it matters
That unit is the most credible foundation for making opponents string together clean drives; passing efficiency remains the first counter an opponent should test.
The passing game is Miami (OH)'s biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can crowd early downs and make the pass game carry obvious throwing situations; defensive control has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
Miami (OH)'s best path is to use the running game to control early downs and finish drives; an average pace puts more weight on winning ordinary downs.
What matters
Miami (OH)'s run-leaning structure played at a balanced pace. The run game finished middle-of-the-pack, while the pass game finished bottom-tier.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
The first question for Miami (OH) is whether the run game can make defenses commit an extra fit.
What matters
Efficient early runs are the most workable route to keeping play action alive, not an established advantage.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Why it matters
At that pace, Miami (OH) cannot count on extra possessions or expect to shorten the game.
Miami (OH)'s prior passing record was bottom-tier.
Why it matters
Miami (OH)'s offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
Miami (OH)'s prior rushing record was middle-of-the-pack.
Why it matters
When Miami (OH)'s run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
Miami (OH) was better at preventing explosive plays than creating them.
Why it matters
The defense can keep a game on schedule, but the offense may need longer drives and more third-down conversions to separate.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Miami (OH)'s defense was more consistent down to down than its offense.
Why it matters
Miami (OH)'s success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Miami (OH)'s opponent-adjusted passing and rushing value were closely matched.
Why it matters
When the split is narrow, early-down execution matters more than steering the offense toward one obvious weakness.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Miami (OH)'s prior defense was strong overall, with no clear separation among its main units.
Why it matters
That balance makes it harder for an offense to choose one automatic target; the defense still has to win early downs before any unit can dictate the offensive options.
Miami (OH)'s available disruption measures ranked in a strong national range last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Sustained disruption can create negative plays and give Miami (OH) a better chance to end drives before third down.
Miami (OH)'s disruption regularly finished at the quarterback.
What matters
Both sack production and front-seven disruption cleared the FBS midpoint.
Miami (OH)'s prior run-defense results were strong.
What matters
Miami (OH)'s rushing efficiency allowed and line control both support the front as a real early-down strength.
