Week 2Away
at Boise State
Boise State
Saturday, September 12 · 6:00 PM EDT- Venue
- Albertsons Stadium
- Win probability
- 27%
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
American Athletic · 2026 · Week 1
Current record, next game, remaining schedule, and program outlook for the Tigers.
Photo: Quintin Soloviev · CC BY 4.0 · Cropped for display
2026 season probabilities
The highlighted finish is the single most likely record—not a fixed list of game results.
2026 results
Current record, team efficiency, player production, and verified results from completed games.
Current record
1-01 win · 0 lossesThrough 1 completed gameSeason outlook
Opponent, kickoff, venue, and the latest game outlook.
at Boise State
Projected 2026 finish
Where Memphis is projected to finish in the American Athletic.
American Athletic projected standing
#5
5-3 projected · 4.9 expected conference wins · #5 of 14.
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Memphis2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
MemphisOutgoing Transfers
MemphisSeason schedule
Projected record is the highest-probability season total across every possible outcome. Upcoming rows show each matchup’s win chance, not one locked sequence of wins and losses.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Memphis tried to stay balanced between the run and pass; the approach consistently kept the offense on schedule.
Why it matters
The run game was Memphis's steadier way to stay ahead of the chains; opponents have to win early fits without handing away play action.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
2026 rates aggregate verified completed-game box scores. EPA is expected points added per play.
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stokes | 15/26 | 223 | 2 | 0 |
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Carter | 15 | 97 | 6.5 | 1 |
| Manny Covey | 11 | 46 | 4.2 | 0 |
| Marcus Stokes | 7 | 45 | 6.4 | 0 |
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jemyri Davis | 3 | 62 | 20.7 | 0 |
| Braylon Burnside | 1 | 48 | 48.0 | 1 |
| Tychaun Chapman | 2 | 34 | 17.0 | 0 |
| Player | TOT | SOLO | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Ruffin | 13 | 9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Michael Montgomery | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Elijah Kinsler | 8 | 6 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
Saturday, August 29 · Allegiant Stadium
Profile high point
The run game held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Big-play prevention held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.The run game is what Memphis can trust most.
Why it matters
The offense has its best route to favorable third downs and a credible play-action menu; passing efficiency remains the first counter an opponent should test.
Memphis did not show one unit opponents could treat as an automatic target; the passing game is only the first place to look.
What matters
Memphis's lowest-rated unit still finished near the national middle last season, so opponents do not have an obvious weakness to attack.
Memphis is at its best when it can stay balanced between the run and pass, then let the run game finish drives; an average pace puts more weight on winning ordinary downs.
What matters
Memphis's balanced structure played at a balanced pace. The run game finished top-tier, while the pass game finished middle-of-the-pack.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Opponents have to keep Memphis's run game from turning first down into second-and-manageable.
Why it matters
If Memphis stays on schedule on the ground, the offense keeps more answers available.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Memphis played at a balanced pace in 2025.
Why it matters
At that pace, Memphis cannot count on extra possessions or expect to shorten the game.
Memphis's prior passing record was middle-of-the-pack.
Why it matters
Memphis's offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
Memphis's prior rushing record was top-tier.
Why it matters
A sustainable run game keeps Memphis's play action credible and limits obvious passing situations.
Memphis's explosive-play upside came with real defensive volatility.
Why it matters
That mix can produce fast scoring swings in either direction and makes missed tackles or coverage busts especially expensive.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Memphis's offense was more consistent down to down than its defense.
Why it matters
Memphis's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the run game as Memphis's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
Forcing longer passing situations is the clearest way to move the offense away from its stronger adjusted unit.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Memphis's prior defense was middle-of-the-pack overall and strongest in run front.
Why it matters
Opponents can use efficient throws to stay out of obvious passing downs; Memphis needs its run front to create long-yardage without overloading the box before that plan settles in.
Memphis's available disruption measures ranked in a strong national range last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Sustained disruption can create negative plays and give Memphis a better chance to end drives before third down.
Memphis created disruption more consistently than it finished sacks.
Why it matters
Memphis's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Memphis's prior run-defense results were top-tier.
Why it matters
A dependable run front can let Memphis create obvious passing downs without committing extra bodies to the box.
