vs Sacred Heart
Sacred Heart
Saturday, September 12 · 3:30 PM EDT- Venue
- Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
- Model outlook
- Projected win
Saturday Index
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Mid-American · 2026 · Week 1
Current record, next game, remaining schedule, and program outlook for the Minutemen.
Photo: Quintin Soloviev · CC BY 4.0 · Cropped for display

2026 season probabilities
The highlighted finish is the single most likely record—not a fixed list of game results.
2026 results
Current record, team efficiency, player production, and verified results from completed games.
Current record
1-01 win · 0 lossesThrough 1 completed gameSeason outlook
Opponent, kickoff, venue, and the latest game outlook.
vs Sacred Heart
Projected 2026 finish
Where Massachusetts is projected to finish in the Mid-American.
Mid-American projected standing
#13
1-7 projected · 1.2 expected conference wins · #13 of 13.
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Massachusetts2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
MassachusettsOutgoing Transfers
MassachusettsSeason schedule
Projected record is the highest-probability season total across every possible outcome. Upcoming rows show each matchup’s win chance, not one locked sequence of wins and losses.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Massachusetts tried to lean on the passing game; it rarely provided an easy foundation.
Why it matters
Neither offensive unit clearly carried the other, so first-down execution decides whether Massachusetts can stay on plan.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
2026 rates aggregate verified completed-game box scores. EPA is expected points added per play.
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Watson III | 19/22 | 197 | 3 | 0 |
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Kimmons IV | 11 | 78 | 7.1 | 1 |
| Elijah Faulkner | 19 | 62 | 3.3 | 0 |
| William Watson III | 6 | 40 | 6.7 | 0 |
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Griffin Jr. | 2 | 61 | 30.5 | 1 |
| Ty Harding | 5 | 55 | 11.0 | 0 |
| Dallas Elliott | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | 0 |
| Player | TOT | SOLO | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timmy Hinspeter | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Kendall Bournes | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| TJ Magee | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Thursday, September 3 · SHI Stadium
Profile high point
Big-play prevention held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Pressure held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.Massachusetts did not have one unit that could carry the whole game plan, even at its best available point.
What matters
Even Massachusetts's best unit finished below the national average last season, leaving no proven strength to build around.
Front-seven disruption is Massachusetts's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can trust normal protection and make the defense win without steady negative plays; explosive-play creation has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
Massachusetts's best path is to lean on the passing game, then keep winning first down because neither the pass nor run can rescue the other; fewer possessions make every empty drive more expensive.
What matters
Massachusetts's pass-leaning structure played at a deliberate pace. Passing finished bottom-tier and rushing finished bottom-tier, without a clear split between them.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Massachusetts must establish a first-down answer before opponents have to defend both the run and pass.
Why it matters
Without one part of the offense forcing an adjustment, opponents can keep the offense in long-yardage and play from a position of strength.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Massachusetts played at a deliberate pace in 2025.
What matters
Massachusetts worked with fewer possessions than most teams last season.
Massachusetts's prior passing record was bottom-tier.
Why it matters
Massachusetts's offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
Why it matters
When Massachusetts's run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
Massachusetts was better at preventing explosive plays than creating them.
Why it matters
The defense can keep a game on schedule, but the offense may need longer drives and more third-down conversions to separate.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Massachusetts's down-to-down results were bottom-tier overall.
Why it matters
Massachusetts's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Massachusetts's opponent-adjusted passing and rushing value were closely matched.
Why it matters
When the split is narrow, early-down execution matters more than steering the offense toward one obvious weakness.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Massachusetts's prior defense was bottom-tier overall, with no clear separation among its main units.
Why it matters
An offense can keep both the run and pass available and test each unit until the defense proves it can win ordinary early downs.
Massachusetts's available disruption measures ranked near the bottom nationally last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Without consistent disruption, Massachusetts's defense must win more snaps through coverage, leverage, and early-down prevention.
Massachusetts's sack and disruption results were bottom-tier.
Why it matters
Massachusetts's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Massachusetts's prior run-defense results were bottom-tier.
Why it matters
If Massachusetts's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.