
vs Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee
Saturday, September 12 · 7:00 PM EDT- Venue
- Joan C. Edwards Stadium
- Win probability
- 81%
Saturday Index
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Sun Belt · 2026 team profile
Program context and schedule for the Thundering Herd.
Photo: Davebanner12 · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Cropped for display

2026 season probabilities
The highlighted finish is the single most likely record—not a fixed list of game results.
Season outlook
Opponent, kickoff, venue, and the latest game outlook.

vs Middle Tennessee
Projected 2026 finish
Where Marshall is projected to finish in the Sun Belt.
Sun Belt projected standing
#3
5-3 projected · 4.9 expected conference wins · #3 of 14.
Primary team read
How Marshall played in 2025.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Marshall2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
MarshallOutgoing Transfers
MarshallSeason schedule
Projected record is the highest-probability season total across every possible outcome. Upcoming rows show each matchup’s win chance, not one locked sequence of wins and losses.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Marshall tried to lean on the running game; the approach gave the offense a dependable starting point.
Why it matters
The passing game was Marshall's more dependable way to stay ahead of the chains; opponents have to interrupt that rhythm without giving the run an easy box.
At a glance
The essential 2026 season outlook.
Profile high point
Passing held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Big-play prevention held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.The passing game is what Marshall can trust most.
Why it matters
The opening plan has its best answer when opponents crowd the box or force obvious throwing situations; explosive-play creation remains the first counter an opponent should test.
Big-play creation is Marshall's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can squeeze underneath space and make the offense finish long drives without chunk gains; passing efficiency has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
Marshall is at its best when it can lean on the running game, then let the passing game finish drives; extra possessions give that plan time to build.
What matters
Marshall's run-first structure played at a fast pace. The pass game finished top-tier, while the run game finished middle-of-the-pack.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Opponents have to break Marshall's passing rhythm before it owns early downs.
Why it matters
If Marshall keeps finding routine completions, the defense cannot load the box or turn the rush loose.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Marshall played at a fast pace in 2025.
Why it matters
More possessions give Marshall's strengths additional chances to build, but they also leave more time to recover from mistakes.
Marshall's prior passing record was top-tier.
Why it matters
A repeatable pass game can let Marshall punish loaded boxes without relying on low-frequency deep completions.
Marshall's prior rushing record was middle-of-the-pack.
Why it matters
When Marshall's run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
Explosive plays were a two-way concern in Marshall's record last season.
Why it matters
That combination increases dependence on sustained drives while leaving little margin for a missed fit or coverage error.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Marshall won ordinary downs on both sides of the ball.
Why it matters
Marshall's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the pass game as Marshall's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
If an opponent removes the first passing answer, the run game's lower adjusted value becomes the key counter to test.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Marshall's prior defense was above-average overall and strongest in run front.
Why it matters
Opponents can use efficient throws to stay out of obvious passing downs; Marshall needs its run front to create long-yardage without overloading the box before that plan settles in.
Marshall's available disruption measures finished above the national average last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Without consistent disruption, Marshall's defense must win more snaps through coverage, leverage, and early-down prevention.
Marshall's sack and disruption results were above-average.
Why it matters
Marshall's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Marshall's prior run-defense results were top-tier.
Why it matters
A dependable run front can let Marshall create obvious passing downs without committing extra bodies to the box.