Week 5 · FinalW
vs. Arkansas State23–20+3 margin
Pregame 29–21
Game detailsSaturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Sun Belt · 2026 · Week 8
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Hosting
Saturday, November 7 · Time TBA
The season, taking shape
Final scores show Louisiana first. Oldest to newest.
vs. Arkansas StatePregame 29–21
Game details
at Louisiana TechPregame 26–25
Game details
vs. TroyPregame 28–23
Original full-season forecast
This forecast retains the original probabilities for the full schedule. It does not update with completed results or this week’s forecast.
2026 results
Current record, team efficiency, player production, and verified results from completed games.
Current record
5-35 wins · 3 lossesThrough 8 completed gamesLoading player usage…
Original season forecast
The original Sun Belt forecast, retained alongside current results.
Sun Belt projected standing
#2
5-3 projected · 5.2 expected conference wins · #2 of 14.
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Louisiana2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
LouisianaOutgoing Transfers
LouisianaSeason schedule
Completed games show final results. Upcoming games use this week’s forecast where available; later games retain their published season outlook.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Louisiana tried to lean on the running game; it rarely provided an easy foundation.
Why it matters
The run game was Louisiana's more workable option, not an established edge; defenses can fit it honestly until early-down success forces extra support.
at Southern MissPregame 31–22
Game detailsPregame comparisons use preserved published forecasts. Results include wins and losses.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
2026 rates aggregate verified completed-game box scores. EPA is expected points added per play.
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Wayne' Winfield | 115/175 | 1347 | 6 | 5 |
| Daniel Beale | 7/10 | 90 | 0 | 1 |
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Wayne' Winfield | 90 | 373 | 4.1 | 7 |
| JJ Garner | 46 | 288 | 6.3 | 5 |
| Anthony Reagan Jr. | 50 | 192 | 3.8 | 3 |
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kedarius Wade | 12 | 264 | 22.0 | 2 |
| Trenton Chaney | 17 | 217 | 12.8 | 1 |
| Caden Jensen | 14 | 169 | 12.1 | 0 |
| Player | TOT | SOLO | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake St. Andre | 54 | 26 | 2.5 | 1 |
| Brent Gordon Jr. | 42 | 24 | 4.5 | 0 |
| Maurion Eleam | 39 | 21 | 2 | 1 |
Saturday, October 24 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
Saturday, October 17 · Cajun Field
Saturday, October 10 · Joe Aillet Stadium
Profile high point
Big-play prevention held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Passing held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.
Louisiana did not have one unit that could carry the whole game plan; the run game came closest.
What matters
Even Louisiana's best unit finished near the national middle last season, leaving no proven strength to build around.
The passing game is Louisiana's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can crowd early downs and make the pass game carry obvious throwing situations; rushing structure has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
For Louisiana, the cleanest script is to use the running game to control early downs and finish drives; an average pace puts more weight on winning ordinary downs.
What matters
Louisiana's run-first structure played at a balanced pace. The run game finished middle-of-the-pack, while the pass game finished bottom-tier.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
The first question for Louisiana is whether the run game can make defenses commit an extra fit.
What matters
Efficient early runs are the most workable route to keeping play action alive, not an established advantage.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Louisiana played at a balanced pace in 2025.
Why it matters
At that pace, Louisiana cannot count on extra possessions or expect to shorten the game.
Louisiana's prior passing record was bottom-tier.
Why it matters
Louisiana's offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
Louisiana's prior rushing record was middle-of-the-pack.
Why it matters
When Louisiana's run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
Louisiana was better at preventing explosive plays than creating them.
Why it matters
The defense can keep a game on schedule, but the offense may need longer drives and more third-down conversions to separate.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Louisiana's down-to-down results were bottom-tier overall.
Why it matters
Louisiana's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the run game as Louisiana's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
Forcing longer passing situations is the clearest way to move the offense away from its stronger adjusted unit.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Louisiana's prior defense was weak overall and strongest in pass defense.
Why it matters
Opponents can test the fits early enough to keep every offensive option open; Louisiana needs its pass defense to tighten throwing windows before that plan settles in.
Louisiana's available disruption measures ranked in the lower national range last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Without consistent disruption, Louisiana's defense must win more snaps through coverage, leverage, and early-down prevention.
Louisiana's sack and disruption results were weak.
Why it matters
Louisiana's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Louisiana's prior run-defense results were bottom-tier.
Why it matters
If Louisiana's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.
