
vs Georgia State
Georgia State
Saturday, September 12 · 7:00 PM EDT- Venue
- Fifth Third Stadium
- Win probability
- 75%
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.

Conference USA · 2026 · Week 1
Current record, next game, remaining schedule, and program outlook for the Owls.
Photo: BullDawg2021 · CC BY 4.0 · Cropped for display

2026 season probabilities
The highlighted finish is the single most likely record—not a fixed list of game results.
2026 results
Current record, team efficiency, player production, and verified results from completed games.
Current record
1-01 win · 0 lossesThrough 1 completed gameSeason outlook
Opponent, kickoff, venue, and the latest game outlook.

vs Georgia State
Projected 2026 finish
Where Kennesaw State is projected to finish in the Conference USA.
Conference USA projected standing
#4
5-3 projected · 4.5 expected conference wins · #4 of 10.
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Kennesaw State2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
Kennesaw StateOutgoing Transfers
Kennesaw StateSeason schedule
Projected record is the highest-probability season total across every possible outcome. Upcoming rows show each matchup’s win chance, not one locked sequence of wins and losses.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Kennesaw State tried to lean on the running game; too many drives still went off schedule.
Why it matters
The passing game was Kennesaw State's more dependable way to stay ahead of the chains; opponents have to interrupt that rhythm without giving the run an easy box.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
2026 rates aggregate verified completed-game box scores. EPA is expected points added per play.
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rickie Collins | 18/23 | 186 | 1 | 0 |
| Landon Varnes | 6/7 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| Skyler Williams | 2/4 | 12 | 0 | 1 |
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latrelle Murrell | 9 | 88 | 9.8 | 2 |
| Triston Morgan | 5 | 76 | 15.2 | 1 |
| Rickie Collins | 7 | 51 | 7.3 | 2 |
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Rogers | 2 | 55 | 27.5 | 0 |
| Dylan Gary | 7 | 52 | 7.4 | 1 |
| Zion Booker | 5 | 46 | 9.2 | 0 |
| Player | TOT | SOLO | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfred Thomas | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Miller | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Kai Russell | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Thursday, September 3 · Fifth Third Stadium
Profile high point
Big-play creation held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
The run game held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.
Big-play creation is what Kennesaw State can trust most.
Why it matters
The offense has its best route to changing field position without requiring flawless drive efficiency; rushing structure remains the first counter an opponent should test.
The run game is the concern opponents should keep testing while big-play creation tries to steady Kennesaw State.
What matters
Kennesaw State's rushing structure finished below the national average last season.
For Kennesaw State, the cleanest script is to lean on the running game, then let the passing game finish drives; extra possessions give that plan time to build.
What matters
Kennesaw State's run-leaning structure played at a fast pace. The pass game finished above-average, while the run game finished below-average.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Opponents have to break Kennesaw State's passing rhythm before it owns early downs.
Why it matters
If Kennesaw State keeps finding routine completions, the defense cannot load the box or turn the rush loose.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Kennesaw State played at a fast pace in 2025.
Why it matters
More possessions give Kennesaw State's strengths additional chances to build, but they also leave more time to recover from mistakes.
Kennesaw State's prior passing record was above-average.
Why it matters
A repeatable pass game can let Kennesaw State punish loaded boxes without relying on low-frequency deep completions.
Kennesaw State's prior rushing record was below-average.
Why it matters
When Kennesaw State's run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
Kennesaw State's explosive-play results were mixed rather than a defining edge.
Why it matters
A big play can still flip a possession, but last season's results do not make explosiveness something this team can rely on.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Kennesaw State's down-to-down results were below-average overall.
Why it matters
Kennesaw State's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the pass game as Kennesaw State's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
If an opponent removes the first passing answer, the run game's lower adjusted value becomes the key counter to test.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Kennesaw State's prior defense was above-average overall and strongest in disruption.
What matters
Disruption finished strong, while run front finished weak; the latter is the first place an offense should test.
Kennesaw State's available disruption measures ranked in a strong national range last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Sustained disruption can create negative plays and give Kennesaw State a better chance to end drives before third down.
Kennesaw State's disruption regularly finished at the quarterback.
What matters
Both sack production and front-seven disruption cleared the FBS midpoint.
Kennesaw State's prior run-defense results were weak.
Why it matters
If Kennesaw State's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.