Week 3 · FinalW
vs. Georgia Southern31–27+4 margin
Pregame comparison unavailable
Game detailsSaturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Conference USA · 2026 · Week 8
Photo: Thomson200 · CC0 1.0 · Cropped for display
Up next · Week 9
Away
On the road at
Wednesday, October 28 · Time TBA
The season, taking shape
Final scores show Jacksonville State first. Oldest to newest.
vs. Georgia SouthernPregame comparison unavailable
Game details
vs. Middle TennesseePregame 31–22
Game details
at Kennesaw StatePregame
Original full-season forecast
This forecast retains the original probabilities for the full schedule. It does not update with completed results or this week’s forecast.
2026 results
Current record, team efficiency, player production, and verified results from completed games.
Current record
5-25 wins · 2 lossesThrough 7 completed gamesLoading player usage…
Original season forecast
The original Conference USA forecast, retained alongside current results.
Conference USA projected standing
#6
4-4 projected · 4.4 expected conference wins · #6 of 10.
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Jacksonville State2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
Jacksonville StateOutgoing Transfers
Jacksonville StateSeason schedule
Completed games show final results. Upcoming games use this week’s forecast where available; later games retain their published season outlook.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Jacksonville State tried to lean on the running game; the approach gave the offense a dependable starting point.
Why it matters
The run game was Jacksonville State's steadier way to stay ahead of the chains; opponents have to win early fits without handing away play action.
vs. Florida InternationalPregame comparison unavailable
Game detailsPregame comparisons use preserved published forecasts. Results include wins and losses.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
2026 rates aggregate verified completed-game box scores. EPA is expected points added per play.
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Creel | 113/170 | 1423 | 10 | 5 |
| Jack Moran | 2/2 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamill Williams | 1/1 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Creel | 86 | 405 | 4.7 | 4 |
| Jalen Likely | 40 | 201 | 5.0 | 2 |
| Lucas Farrington | 28 | 165 | 5.9 | 1 |
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deondre Johnson | 18 | 338 | 18.8 | 2 |
| Jamill Williams | 20 | 239 | 11.9 | 5 |
| Luke Gilbert | 9 | 209 | 23.2 | 2 |
| Player | TOT | SOLO | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Nix | 35 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| Walker O'Steen | 30 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| Jonavan Carr | 24 | 16 | 1.5 | 0 |
Tuesday, October 13 · AmFirst Stadium
Wednesday, October 7 · Fifth Third Stadium
Saturday, September 26 · AmFirst Stadium
Profile high point
The run game held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Big-play prevention held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.
The run game is what Jacksonville State can trust most.
Why it matters
The offense has its best route to favorable third downs and a credible play-action menu; passing efficiency remains the first counter an opponent should test.
The first place to test Jacksonville State is the passing game, especially on ordinary early downs; the run game has to keep the game on plan.
What matters
Jacksonville State's passing efficiency ranked in the lower national range last season.
For Jacksonville State, the cleanest script is to use the running game to control early downs and finish drives; extra possessions give that plan time to build.
What matters
Jacksonville State's run-heavy structure played at a fast pace. The run game finished strong, while the pass game finished weak.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Opponents have to keep Jacksonville State's run game from turning first down into second-and-manageable.
What matters
Early run success keeps play action alive and prevents the defense from dictating obvious passing downs.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Jacksonville State played at a fast pace in 2025.
Why it matters
More possessions give Jacksonville State's strengths additional chances to build, but they also leave more time to recover from mistakes.
Jacksonville State's prior passing record was weak.
Why it matters
Jacksonville State's offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
Jacksonville State's prior rushing record was strong.
Why it matters
A sustainable run game keeps Jacksonville State's play action credible and limits obvious passing situations.
Jacksonville State's explosive-play results were mixed rather than a defining edge.
Why it matters
A big play can still flip a possession, but last season's results do not make explosiveness something this team can rely on.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Jacksonville State's offense was more consistent down to down than its defense.
Why it matters
Jacksonville State's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the run game as Jacksonville State's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
Forcing longer passing situations is the clearest way to move the offense away from its stronger adjusted unit.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Jacksonville State's prior defense was above-average overall and strongest in disruption.
What matters
Disruption finished strong, while pass defense finished middle-of-the-pack; the latter is the first place to test, not an automatic answer.
Jacksonville State's available disruption measures ranked in a strong national range last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Sustained disruption can create negative plays and give Jacksonville State a better chance to end drives before third down.
Jacksonville State created disruption more consistently than it finished sacks.
Why it matters
Jacksonville State's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Why it matters
If Jacksonville State's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.
