Week 4 · FinalW
vs. Northern Illinois35–14+21 margin
Pregame 30–26
Game detailsSaturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Sun Belt · 2026 · Week 8
Photo: Southernkeith · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Cropped for display
Up next · Week 9
Home
Hosting
Saturday, October 31 · Time TBA
The season, taking shape
Final scores show Georgia State first. Oldest to newest.
vs. Northern IllinoisPregame 30–26
Game details
vs. Old DominionPregame 28–25
Game details
at James MadisonOriginal full-season forecast
This forecast retains the original probabilities for the full schedule. It does not update with completed results or this week’s forecast.
2026 results
Current record, team efficiency, player production, and verified results from completed games.
Current record
4-34 wins · 3 lossesThrough 7 completed gamesLoading player usage…
Original season forecast
The original Sun Belt forecast, retained alongside current results.
Sun Belt projected standing
#14
2-6 projected · 2.4 expected conference wins · #14 of 14.
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Georgia State2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
Georgia StateOutgoing Transfers
Georgia StateSeason schedule
Completed games show final results. Upcoming games use this week’s forecast where available; later games retain their published season outlook.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Georgia State tried to lean on the passing game; too many drives still went off schedule.
Why it matters
Neither offensive unit clearly carried the other, so first-down execution decides whether Georgia State can stay on plan.
at Arkansas StatePregame 27–28
Game detailsPregame comparisons use preserved published forecasts. Results include wins and losses.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
2026 rates aggregate verified completed-game box scores. EPA is expected points added per play.
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameran Brown | 110/166 | 1356 | 14 | 5 |
| Ayden Pereira | 21/36 | 263 | 2 | 3 |
| DJ Riles | 1/1 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanear McCrary Jr. | 82 | 399 | 4.9 | 4 |
| Qwantavius Wiggins | 54 | 350 | 6.5 | 3 |
| DJ Murray Jr. | 37 | 225 | 6.1 | 2 |
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodshaun Dorsey | 24 | 418 | 17.4 | 8 |
| DJ Riles | 23 | 248 | 10.8 | 1 |
| Derrick Avery Jr. | 11 | 191 | 17.4 | 1 |
| Player | TOT | SOLO | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaydon Hood | 46 | 26 | 4.5 | 0.5 |
| Coby Owens | 35 | 19 | 5 | 1 |
| Donovan Faria | 30 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Saturday, October 24 · Centennial Bank Stadium
Saturday, October 17 · Bridgeforth Stadium
Saturday, October 3 · Center Parc Stadium
Profile high point
Big-play creation held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Down-to-down defense held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.
Georgia State did not have one unit that could carry the whole game plan; big-play creation came closest.
What matters
Even Georgia State's best unit finished near the national middle last season, leaving no proven strength to build around.
The defense's control of ordinary downs is Georgia State's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can stay patient, keep every offensive option open, and make the defense win ordinary downs; explosive-play creation has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
Georgia State is at its best when it can lean on the passing game, then keep winning first down because neither the pass nor run can rescue the other; an average pace puts more weight on winning ordinary downs.
What matters
Georgia State's pass-first structure played at a balanced pace. Passing finished below-average and rushing finished below-average, without a clear split between them.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Georgia State must establish a first-down answer before opponents have to defend both the run and pass.
Why it matters
Without one part of the offense forcing an adjustment, opponents can keep the offense in long-yardage and play from a position of strength.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Georgia State played at a balanced pace in 2025.
Why it matters
At that pace, Georgia State cannot count on extra possessions or expect to shorten the game.
Georgia State's prior passing record was below-average.
Why it matters
Georgia State's offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
Why it matters
When Georgia State's run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
Georgia State's explosive-play results were mixed rather than a defining edge.
Why it matters
A big play can still flip a possession, but last season's results do not make explosiveness something this team can rely on.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Georgia State's offense was more consistent down to down than its defense.
Why it matters
Georgia State's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Georgia State's opponent-adjusted passing and rushing value were closely matched.
Why it matters
When the split is narrow, early-down execution matters more than steering the offense toward one obvious weakness.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Georgia State's prior defense was bottom-tier overall, with no clear separation among its main units.
Why it matters
An offense can keep both the run and pass available and test each unit until the defense proves it can win ordinary early downs.
Georgia State's available disruption measures ranked near the bottom nationally last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Georgia State's sack and disruption results were bottom-tier.
Why it matters
Georgia State's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Why it matters
If Georgia State's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.
