Week 4 · FinalL
vs. Houston28–42-14 margin
Pregame 18–37
Game detailsSaturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Sun Belt · 2026 · Week 8
Photo: Gsuengineer · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Cropped for display
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Saturday, October 31 · Time TBA
The season, taking shape
Final scores show Georgia Southern first. Oldest to newest.
vs. HoustonPregame 18–37
Game details
at Coastal CarolinaPregame 28–27
Game details
vs. James MadisonPregame
Original full-season forecast
This forecast retains the original probabilities for the full schedule. It does not update with completed results or this week’s forecast.
2026 results
Current record, team efficiency, player production, and verified results from completed games.
Current record
3-43 wins · 4 lossesThrough 7 completed gamesLoading player usage…
Original season forecast
The original Sun Belt forecast, retained alongside current results.
Sun Belt projected standing
#11
3-5 projected · 3.2 expected conference wins · #11 of 14.
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Georgia Southern2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
Georgia SouthernOutgoing Transfers
Georgia SouthernSeason schedule
Completed games show final results. Upcoming games use this week’s forecast where available; later games retain their published season outlook.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Georgia Southern tried to stay balanced between the run and pass; the approach consistently kept the offense on schedule.
Why it matters
Neither offensive unit clearly carried the other, so first-down execution decides whether Georgia Southern can stay on plan.
at Old DominionPregame 26–24
Game detailsPregame comparisons use preserved published forecasts. Results include wins and losses.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
2026 rates aggregate verified completed-game box scores. EPA is expected points added per play.
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Johnson | 154/232 | 1601 | 11 | 2 |
| Turner Helton | 23/30 | 205 | 1 | 1 |
| Taylor Bradshaw | 1/1 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Mbadinga | 39 | 233 | 6.0 | 0 |
| Tyrese Woodgett | 29 | 148 | 5.1 | 0 |
| Weston Bryan | 31 | 139 | 4.5 | 5 |
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Taylor | 24 | 342 | 14.3 | 3 |
| Josh Dallas | 41 | 323 | 7.9 | 0 |
| River Helms | 27 | 293 | 10.9 | 1 |
| Player | TOT | SOLO | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Tyson | 39 | 17 | 2 | 1.5 |
| Jakyri Jones | 38 | 19 | 1.5 | 0 |
| Aaron Sears | 37 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Thursday, October 15 · S.B. Ballard Stadium
Saturday, October 10 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Saturday, October 3 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
Profile high point
The run game held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Down-to-down defense held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.
The run game is what Georgia Southern can trust most.
Why it matters
The offense has its best route to favorable third downs and a credible play-action menu; defensive control remains the first counter an opponent should test.
The defense's control of ordinary downs is Georgia Southern's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can stay patient, keep every offensive option open, and make the defense win ordinary downs; rushing structure has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
Georgia Southern's best path is to stay balanced between the run and pass, then keep both the pass and run available because neither part of the offense has to carry the plan alone; an average pace puts more weight on winning ordinary downs.
What matters
Georgia Southern's balanced structure played at a balanced pace. Passing finished strong and rushing finished strong, without a clear split between them.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Opponents have to win first down before Georgia Southern can keep both answers available.
What matters
Neither the pass nor run separated enough to become the only priority, so first-down execution is the real target.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Georgia Southern played at a balanced pace in 2025.
Why it matters
At that pace, Georgia Southern cannot count on extra possessions or expect to shorten the game.
Georgia Southern's prior passing record was strong.
Why it matters
A repeatable pass game can let Georgia Southern punish loaded boxes without relying on low-frequency deep completions.
Why it matters
A sustainable run game keeps Georgia Southern's play action credible and limits obvious passing situations.
Georgia Southern's explosive-play results were mixed rather than a defining edge.
Why it matters
A big play can still flip a possession, but last season's results do not make explosiveness something this team can rely on.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Georgia Southern's offense was more consistent down to down than its defense.
Why it matters
Georgia Southern's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the run game as Georgia Southern's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
Forcing longer passing situations is the clearest way to move the offense away from its stronger adjusted unit.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Georgia Southern's prior defense was bottom-tier overall and strongest in disruption.
Why it matters
Opponents can test the fits early enough to keep every offensive option open; Georgia Southern needs its disruption to change protection and erase drives with negative plays before that plan settles in.
Georgia Southern's available disruption measures ranked in the lower national range last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Georgia Southern created disruption more consistently than it finished sacks.
Why it matters
Georgia Southern's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Why it matters
If Georgia Southern's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.
