Week 4 · FinalW
at UL Monroe45–17+28 margin
Pregame 30–26
Game detailsSaturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
American Athletic · 2026 · Week 8
Photo: Jerseydem · CC BY-SA 3.0 · Cropped for display
Up next · Week 9
Away
On the road at
Thursday, October 29 · 7:30 PM EDT
The season, taking shape
Final scores show Florida Atlantic first. Oldest to newest.
at UL MonroePregame 30–26
Game detailsPregame comparison unavailable
Game details
at ArmyPregame 25–30
Game detailsOriginal full-season forecast
This forecast retains the original probabilities for the full schedule. It does not update with completed results or this week’s forecast.
2026 results
Current record, team efficiency, player production, and verified results from completed games.
Current record
5-25 wins · 2 lossesThrough 7 completed gamesLoading player usage…
Original season forecast
The original American Athletic forecast, retained alongside current results.
American Athletic projected standing
#10
3-5 projected · 3.2 expected conference wins · #10 of 14.
Preseason baseline
2025 percentiles retained as preseason context; current results and player production lead this page.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Florida Atlantic2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
Florida AtlanticOutgoing Transfers
Florida AtlanticSeason schedule
Completed games show final results. Upcoming games use this week’s forecast where available; later games retain their published season outlook.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Florida Atlantic tried to lean on the passing game; the approach gave the offense a dependable starting point.
Why it matters
The passing game was Florida Atlantic's more dependable way to stay ahead of the chains; opponents have to interrupt that rhythm without giving the run an easy box.
vs. RicePregame 33–23
Game detailsPregame comparisons use preserved published forecasts. Results include wins and losses.
At a glance
Current form leads the outlook.
2026 rates aggregate verified completed-game box scores. EPA is expected points added per play.
| Player | C/ATT | YDS | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Veltkamp | 190/260 | 2081 | 18 | 4 |
| Drew Devillier | 7/13 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Magwood | 1/3 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Ervin | 87 | 368 | 4.2 | 2 |
| Leonard Farrow | 62 | 317 | 5.1 | 2 |
| Brady Tillman | 29 | 123 | 4.2 | 1 |
| Player | REC | YDS | AVG | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Easton Messer | 56 | 702 | 12.5 | 6 |
| Kelby Valsin | 54 | 679 | 12.6 | 6 |
| Dom Henry | 29 | 324 | 11.2 | 3 |
| Player | TOT | SOLO | TFL | SACK |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Sipp Jr. | 48 | 20 | 1 | 1 |
| Leon Hart Jr. | 33 | 12 | 3 | 0.5 |
| Blake Burris | 29 | 9 | 1.5 | 0 |
Saturday, October 24 · FAU Stadium
Saturday, October 17 · Michie Stadium
Saturday, October 3 · FAU Stadium
Profile high point
Big-play creation held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Down-to-down defense held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.
Big-play creation is what Florida Atlantic can trust most.
Why it matters
The offense has its best route to changing field position without requiring flawless drive efficiency; defensive control remains the first counter an opponent should test.
The defense's control of ordinary downs is Florida Atlantic's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can stay patient, keep every offensive option open, and make the defense win ordinary downs; explosive-play creation has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
For Florida Atlantic, the cleanest script is to use the passing game to stay on schedule and finish drives; an average pace puts more weight on winning ordinary downs.
What matters
Florida Atlantic's pass-heavy structure played at a balanced pace. The pass game finished above-average, while the run game finished weak.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Opponents have to break Florida Atlantic's passing rhythm before it owns early downs.
Why it matters
If Florida Atlantic keeps finding routine completions, the defense cannot load the box or turn the rush loose.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Florida Atlantic played at a balanced pace in 2025.
Why it matters
At that pace, Florida Atlantic cannot count on extra possessions or expect to shorten the game.
Florida Atlantic's prior passing record was above-average.
Why it matters
A repeatable pass game can let Florida Atlantic punish loaded boxes without relying on low-frequency deep completions.
Florida Atlantic's prior rushing record was weak.
Why it matters
When Florida Atlantic's run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
Florida Atlantic's explosive-play upside came with real defensive volatility.
Why it matters
That mix can produce fast scoring swings in either direction and makes missed tackles or coverage busts especially expensive.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Florida Atlantic's offense was more consistent down to down than its defense.
Why it matters
Florida Atlantic's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the pass game as Florida Atlantic's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
If an opponent removes the first passing answer, the run game's lower adjusted value becomes the key counter to test.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Florida Atlantic's prior defense was bottom-tier overall and strongest in pass defense.
Why it matters
Opponents can test the fits early enough to keep every offensive option open; Florida Atlantic needs its pass defense to tighten throwing windows before that plan settles in.
Florida Atlantic's available disruption measures ranked in the lower national range last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Florida Atlantic's sack and disruption results were weak.
Why it matters
Florida Atlantic's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Why it matters
If Florida Atlantic's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.
