vs Fordham
Fordham
Saturday, September 12 · 7:30 PM EDT- Venue
- Brooks Stadium (SC)
- Model outlook
- Projected win
Saturday Index
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Sun Belt · 2026 team profile
Program context and schedule for the Chanticleers.
Photo: Greenstrat · Public domain · Cropped for display

2026 season probabilities
The highlighted finish is the single most likely record—not a fixed list of game results.
Season outlook
Opponent, kickoff, venue, and the latest game outlook.
vs Fordham
Projected 2026 finish
Where Coastal Carolina is projected to finish in the Sun Belt.
Sun Belt projected standing
#12
3-5 projected · 3.1 expected conference wins · #12 of 14.
Primary team read
How Coastal Carolina played in 2025.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Coastal Carolina2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
Coastal CarolinaOutgoing Transfers
Coastal CarolinaSeason schedule
Projected record is the highest-probability season total across every possible outcome. Upcoming rows show each matchup’s win chance, not one locked sequence of wins and losses.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Coastal Carolina tried to lean on the running game; it rarely provided an easy foundation.
Why it matters
The run game was Coastal Carolina's less difficult offensive option, but it did not reliably keep the offense on schedule; the offense must prove it can create movement before opponents have to commit extra help.
At a glance
The essential 2026 season outlook.
Profile high point
Big-play creation held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Passing held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.Coastal Carolina can lean on big-play creation when a drive slips off schedule, but the passing game still needs support.
Why it matters
The offense has its best route to changing field position without requiring flawless drive efficiency; passing efficiency remains the first counter an opponent should test.
The passing game is Coastal Carolina's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can crowd early downs and make the pass game carry obvious throwing situations; explosive-play creation has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
Coastal Carolina's best path is to use the running game to control early downs and finish drives; an average pace puts more weight on winning ordinary downs.
What matters
Coastal Carolina's run-leaning structure played at a balanced pace. The run game finished weak, while the pass game finished bottom-tier.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Before defenses have to commit extra help, Coastal Carolina must prove the run can create manageable second downs.
What matters
Last season's rushing results did not establish dependable movement or a steady play-action foundation.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Coastal Carolina played at a balanced pace in 2025.
Why it matters
At that pace, Coastal Carolina cannot count on extra possessions or expect to shorten the game.
Coastal Carolina's prior passing record was bottom-tier.
Why it matters
Coastal Carolina's offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
Coastal Carolina's prior rushing record was weak.
Why it matters
When Coastal Carolina's run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
Coastal Carolina's explosive-play upside came with real defensive volatility.
Why it matters
That mix can produce fast scoring swings in either direction and makes missed tackles or coverage busts especially expensive.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Coastal Carolina's defense was more consistent down to down than its offense.
Why it matters
Coastal Carolina's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the run game as Coastal Carolina's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
Forcing longer passing situations is the clearest way to move the offense away from its stronger adjusted unit.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Coastal Carolina's prior defense was below-average overall and strongest in disruption.
Why it matters
Opponents can use efficient throws to stay out of obvious passing downs; Coastal Carolina needs its disruption to change protection and erase drives with negative plays before that plan settles in.
Coastal Carolina's available disruption measures finished near the national middle last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Coastal Carolina created disruption more consistently than it finished sacks.
Why it matters
Coastal Carolina's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Coastal Carolina's prior run-defense results were weak.
Why it matters
If Coastal Carolina's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.