Week 2Home
vs Memphis
Memphis
Saturday, September 12 · 6:00 PM EDT- Venue
- Albertsons Stadium
- Win probability
- 73%
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Pac-12 · 2026 team profile
Program context and schedule for the Broncos.
Photo: Iamneven · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Cropped for display
2026 season probabilities
The highlighted finish is the single most likely record—not a fixed list of game results.
Season outlook
Opponent, kickoff, venue, and the latest game outlook.
vs Memphis
Projected 2026 finish
Where Boise State is projected to finish in the Pac-12.
Pac-12 projected standing
#1
5-2 projected · 5.2 expected conference wins · conference favorite.
Primary team read
How Boise State played in 2025.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Boise State2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Incoming Transfers
Boise StateOutgoing Transfers
Boise StateSeason schedule
Projected record is the highest-probability season total across every possible outcome. Upcoming rows show each matchup’s win chance, not one locked sequence of wins and losses.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Boise State tried to lean on the running game; the approach gave the offense a dependable starting point.
Why it matters
The run game was Boise State's steadier way to stay ahead of the chains; opponents have to win early fits without handing away play action.
At a glance
The essential 2026 season outlook.
Profile high point
Down-to-down defense held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Big-play prevention held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.Boise State can lean on the defense's control of ordinary downs when a drive slips off schedule, but the passing game still needs support.
Why it matters
That unit is the most credible foundation for making opponents string together clean drives; passing efficiency remains the first counter an opponent should test.
Boise State did not show one unit opponents could treat as an automatic target; the passing game is only the first place to look.
What matters
Boise State's lowest-rated unit still finished near the national middle last season, so opponents do not have an obvious weakness to attack.
Boise State's best path is to use the running game to control early downs and finish drives; extra possessions give that plan time to build.
What matters
Boise State's run-leaning structure played at a fast pace. The run game finished above-average, while the pass game finished middle-of-the-pack.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Opponents have to keep Boise State's run game from turning first down into second-and-manageable.
What matters
Early run success keeps play action alive and prevents the defense from dictating obvious passing downs.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Boise State played at a fast pace in 2025.
Why it matters
More possessions give Boise State's strengths additional chances to build, but they also leave more time to recover from mistakes.
Boise State's prior passing record was middle-of-the-pack.
Why it matters
Boise State's offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
Boise State's prior rushing record was above-average.
Why it matters
When Boise State's run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
Boise State's explosive-play upside came with real defensive volatility.
Why it matters
That mix can produce fast scoring swings in either direction and makes missed tackles or coverage busts especially expensive.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Boise State's defense was more consistent down to down than its offense.
Why it matters
Boise State's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Boise State's opponent-adjusted passing and rushing value were closely matched.
Why it matters
When the split is narrow, early-down execution matters more than steering the offense toward one obvious weakness.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Boise State's prior defense was strong overall and strongest in pass defense.
What matters
Pass defense finished top-tier, while run front finished below-average; the latter is the first place an offense should test.
Boise State's available disruption measures ranked in a strong national range last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Sustained disruption can create negative plays and give Boise State a better chance to end drives before third down.
Boise State created disruption more consistently than it finished sacks.
Why it matters
Boise State's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Boise State's prior run-defense results were below-average.
Why it matters
If Boise State's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.
