Week 2Home
vs South Florida
South Florida
Saturday, September 12 · 12:00 PM EDT- Venue
- Michie Stadium
- Win probability
- 24%
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
Saturday Index
Loading team intelligenceBringing the latest verified football information into focus.
American Athletic · 2026 team profile
Program context and schedule for the Black Knights.
Photo: John Pellino · Public domain · Cropped for display
2026 season probabilities
The highlighted finish is the single most likely record—not a fixed list of game results.
Season outlook
Opponent, kickoff, venue, and the latest game outlook.
vs South Florida
Projected 2026 finish
Where Army is projected to finish in the American Athletic.
American Athletic projected standing
#8
4-5 projected · 4.5 expected conference wins · #8 of 14.
Primary team read
How Army played in 2025.
2025 FBS percentile scale · 50 is average
Incoming class
National and conference recruiting ranks, confirmed commitments, and the highest-ranked recruits in this class.
Top committed recruits
Army2026 transfer movement
Incoming and outgoing transfer activity, with rated FBS-to-FBS moves below.
Outgoing Transfers
ArmySeason schedule
Projected record is the highest-probability season total across every possible outcome. Upcoming rows show each matchup’s win chance, not one locked sequence of wins and losses.
Detailed football intelligence
The full team identity, offense, defense, and supporting evidence.
Team identity
Last season, Army tried to lean on the running game; the approach gave the offense a dependable starting point.
Why it matters
Neither offensive unit clearly carried the other, so first-down execution decides whether Army can stay on plan.
At a glance
The essential 2026 season outlook.
Profile high point
Big-play prevention held the profile's highest percentile position.Profile low point
Big-play creation held the lowest percentile position among the profile's strength measures.The passing game is Army's best starting point, though big-play creation keeps it from carrying the plan alone.
What matters
Army's passing efficiency finished above the national average last season.
Big-play creation is Army's biggest concern, and opponents can test it immediately.
Why it matters
Opponents can squeeze underneath space and make the offense finish long drives without chunk gains; passing efficiency has to keep that stress from setting the game plan.
Army is at its best when it can lean on the running game, then keep both the pass and run available because neither part of the offense has to carry the plan alone; an average pace puts more weight on winning ordinary downs.
What matters
Army's run-heavy structure played at a balanced pace. Passing finished above-average and rushing finished above-average, without a clear split between them.
Inside the team
Open a section for the football detail and supporting numbers.
The down-to-down question that determines whether the offense can keep both the run and pass available.
Opponents have to win first down before Army can keep both answers available.
Why it matters
Putting Army behind the chains limits the offense without requiring the defense to guess run or pass.
The pace, play selection, and methods this offense uses to stay on schedule.
Army played at a balanced pace in 2025.
Why it matters
At that pace, Army cannot count on extra possessions or expect to shorten the game.
Army's prior passing record was above-average.
Why it matters
Army's offense needs protection, field position, or explosive variance when ordinary dropbacks do not create enough value.
Why it matters
When Army's run game cannot stay on schedule, protection and passing-down execution carry more of the offense.
Army was better at preventing explosive plays than creating them.
Why it matters
The defense can keep a game on schedule, but the offense may need longer drives and more third-down conversions to separate.
How consistently the offense creates manageable situations and the defense prevents them.
Army's offense was more consistent down to down than its defense.
Why it matters
Army's success rate shows whether it can sustain drives and get stops without relying on sacks, turnovers, or isolated big plays.
Opponent-adjusted EPA identifies the pass game as Army's stronger offensive unit.
Why it matters
If an opponent removes the first passing answer, the run game's lower adjusted value becomes the key counter to test.
Where the defense can create pressure, control the run, and end drives.
Army's prior defense was weak overall and strongest in run front.
Why it matters
Opponents can trust normal protection and make coverage hold through the route; Army needs its run front to create long-yardage without overloading the box before that plan settles in.
Army's available disruption measures ranked near the bottom nationally last season; a charted pressure rate is not available.
Why it matters
Without consistent disruption, Army's defense must win more snaps through coverage, leverage, and early-down prevention.
Army's sack and disruption results were bottom-tier.
Why it matters
Army's disruption can hurry an offense; sacks do more by erasing field position and ending passing downs.
Why it matters
If Army's front cannot control early downs, opponents can keep every offensive option open and protect their passing game.
